{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7e7c1ac8-9128-444f-8178-d6cc8a581b67",
    "symbol": "NRDS",
    "name": "Nerdwallet Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 75.458,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -4.028,
    "architecture_energy": 6.192,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.677,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.487,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.87,
        "rotation_up": 28.3,
        "upward_expansion": 25.11,
        "deceleration": 49.37,
        "rotation_down": 22.12,
        "downward_expansion": 49.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.345333,
        9.210182,
        9.140405,
        9.404871
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.91,
    "trend_reference": 9.9055,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.000454,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.85484,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.164054,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.415644,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.059772,
    "excess_performance": -0.247226,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000454,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148048,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.164054,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071139,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214156,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119841,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059772,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.139991,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4887738,
      "relative_activity": 1.279591,
      "balance": 1.139991,
      "dry_up": 0.84212,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.081789,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.525857,
      "from_high_reference": -0.389778,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351978
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.9055,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.85484,
      "structural_low": 7.33,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012797,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008393,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.177665,
        "worst_return": -0.285714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.101773,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.137692,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.444757,
        "worst_return": -0.305248,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.117495,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.165818,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.142226,
        "worst_return": -0.171909,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.216317,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.422904,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.163428,
        "worst_return": -0.269206,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.329642,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.090029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.169811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.046637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.323022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.016765,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 4174209.05,
        "trend": 10.338167,
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        "relative_strength": -24.870179,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.572629,
        "energy": 23.138487,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4032360.6,
        "trend": 10.1695,
        "fair_value": 11.856891,
        "relative_strength": -26.268971,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.938669,
        "energy": 21.517081,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.0,
        "volume": 2599311,
        "typical_volume": 3888049.95,
        "trend": 10.0385,
        "fair_value": 11.851571,
        "relative_strength": -25.189137,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.997543,
        "energy": 16.053558,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.114,
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          9.089667,
          9.413161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.91,
        "volume": 4887738,
        "typical_volume": 3819764.5,
        "trend": 9.9055,
        "fair_value": 11.85484,
        "relative_strength": -21.415644,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -4.027882,
        "energy": 6.192339,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}