{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e85bcc2-1a39-4f9d-9d30-3317b8dda47e", "symbol": "5410", "name": "Leo Systems, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.557, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.432, "architecture_energy": 19.787, "architecture_maturity": 62.716, "architecture_confidence": 72.543, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.57, "rotation_up": 15.25, "upward_expansion": 41.56, "deceleration": 87.68, "rotation_down": 46.99, "downward_expansion": 37.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.007379, 36.923654, 37.153408, 35.573417 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.700001, "trend_reference": 33.429231, "distance_from_trend": 0.067928, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.900027, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.193979, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.612577, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.273019, "excess_performance": -0.168353, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067928, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104455, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.193979, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006419, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206126, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006443, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.273019, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.659938, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2320768, "relative_activity": 0.478256, "balance": 1.659938, "dry_up": 0.591989, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107201, "annualized_volatility": 0.401652, "from_high_reference": -0.238234, "from_low_reference": 0.369529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.429231, "fair_value_reference": 29.900027, "structural_low": 27.38484, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.048439, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.10625, "worst_return": -0.074965, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.025896, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.126388, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.121875, "worst_return": -0.073611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055227, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.17918, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.354237, "worst_return": -0.133333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 4554209.65, "trend": 32.5889, "fair_value": 29.708936, "relative_strength": -19.918435, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.119953, "energy": 39.043672, "activity_lines": [ 39.640574, 39.951409, 37.174326, 35.042536 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.631001, "volume": 1659271, "typical_volume": 4536498.5, "trend": 32.79907, "fair_value": 29.760068, "relative_strength": -20.609694, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.736239, "energy": 21.423274, "activity_lines": [ 37.629844, 39.105311, 37.177687, 35.174285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.0, "volume": 4209083, "typical_volume": 4679353.55, "trend": 33.015266, "fair_value": 29.813332, "relative_strength": -18.300445, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.056135, "energy": 26.098481, "activity_lines": [ 36.240875, 38.32887, 37.190423, 35.31628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.5, "volume": 3301533, "typical_volume": 4796092.7, "trend": 33.199112, "fair_value": 29.848773, "relative_strength": -21.016817, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.852176, "energy": 26.549734, "activity_lines": [ 35.131168, 37.489032, 37.127569, 35.412069 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 35.700001, "volume": 2320768, "typical_volume": 4852566.15, "trend": 33.429231, "fair_value": 29.900027, "relative_strength": -20.612577, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.432198, "energy": 19.786606, "activity_lines": [ 35.007379, 36.923654, 37.153408, 35.573417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }