{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7e8c6801-5024-42d6-af3e-7d2f9fcfe23a",
    "symbol": "USMV",
    "name": "iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 57.026,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.339,
    "architecture_energy": 78.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.972,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.083,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.12,
        "rotation_up": 72.35,
        "upward_expansion": 88.32,
        "deceleration": 47.73,
        "rotation_down": 9.61,
        "downward_expansion": 17.32
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1725.0,
    "trend_reference": 1663.21696,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037147,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1620.38631,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.064561,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.533838,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.050047,
    "excess_performance": 0.104713,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037147,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004975,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064561,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052331,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005338,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156043,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050047,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.075117,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 727,
      "relative_activity": 2.236235,
      "balance": 7.075117,
      "dry_up": 1.711012,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015199,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115779,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024521,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084889
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 1620.38631,
      "structural_low": 1590.025066,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
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        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
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        "worst_return": -0.10416,
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      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-03-27",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 1608.979455,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 40.769908,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 347,
        "typical_volume": 247.55,
        "trend": 1661.351843,
        "fair_value": 1611.836444,
        "relative_strength": -1.921135,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 64.244017,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1690.0,
        "volume": 51,
        "typical_volume": 233.75,
        "trend": 1661.551327,
        "fair_value": 1614.637453,
        "relative_strength": -2.353989,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.975672,
        "energy": 71.64597,
        "activity_lines": [
          1693.133333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1693.0,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 288.75,
        "trend": 1661.85081,
        "fair_value": 1617.457692,
        "relative_strength": -2.645162,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.673133,
        "energy": 70.868308,
        "activity_lines": [
          1695.866667,
          1683.941697,
          1668.850754,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1725.0,
        "volume": 727,
        "typical_volume": 325.1,
        "trend": 1663.21696,
        "fair_value": 1620.38631,
        "relative_strength": -0.533838,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.339281,
        "energy": 78.338625,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}