{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e8ddcb2-e8f2-4d88-9724-f86cafa3aedd", "symbol": "3531", "name": "Shian Yih Electronic Industry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 77.089, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -6.556, "architecture_energy": 17.789, "architecture_maturity": 7.798, "architecture_confidence": 64.51, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.91, "rotation_up": 14.94, "upward_expansion": 41.57, "deceleration": 78.08, "rotation_down": 40.28, "downward_expansion": 33.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.943333, 22.324545, 22.522194, 22.260204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.4, "trend_reference": 21.850591, "distance_from_trend": -0.020621, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.416497, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158027, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.880179, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021692, "excess_performance": -0.41968, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.020621, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021174, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158027, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056613, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.308802, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007952, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021692, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.362995, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22000, "relative_activity": 0.49833, "balance": 0.362995, "dry_up": 0.498421, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048098, "annualized_volatility": 0.163018, "from_high_reference": -0.120153, "from_low_reference": 0.082387 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.850591, "fair_value_reference": 25.416497, "structural_low": 19.771126, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.013738, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.0326, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.249891, "worst_return": -0.095685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.008929, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.098511, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.261795, "worst_return": -0.168157, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.02741, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.148097, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.216052, "worst_return": -0.135202, 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.065447, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021138, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.079258, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.127013, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.000676, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": 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"volume": 32000, "typical_volume": 46046.75, "trend": 21.686961, "fair_value": 25.494328, "relative_strength": -25.298779, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.126364, "energy": 26.508292, "activity_lines": [ 22.856667, 22.860405, 22.607523, 22.181384 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.799999, "volume": 11000, "typical_volume": 45446.75, "trend": 21.755297, "fair_value": 25.490633, "relative_strength": -25.641091, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.178432, "energy": 25.021932, "activity_lines": [ 22.83, 22.848375, 22.669836, 22.253193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.5, "volume": 37460, "typical_volume": 46419.65, "trend": 21.813634, "fair_value": 25.470782, "relative_strength": -24.842329, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.952137, "energy": 16.252708, "activity_lines": [ 22.693333, 22.783675, 22.693816, 22.301239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.6, "volume": 17556, "typical_volume": 44097.45, "trend": 21.822396, "fair_value": 25.441694, "relative_strength": -28.687478, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.409143, "energy": 8.632631, "activity_lines": [ 22.293333, 22.561779, 22.620019, 22.287456 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.4, "volume": 22000, "typical_volume": 44147.45, "trend": 21.850591, "fair_value": 25.416497, "relative_strength": -30.880179, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.556412, "energy": 17.788862, "activity_lines": [ 21.943333, 22.324545, 22.522194, 22.260204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }