{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e94122c-59da-46de-8eff-47f3327b51ae", "symbol": "RBY", "name": "Rubellite Energy Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.686, "architecture_energy": 83.576, "architecture_maturity": 74.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.141, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.49, "rotation_up": 76.94, "upward_expansion": 93.65, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 8.21, "downward_expansion": 20.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.31, 3.983636, 3.71, 3.537247 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.23, "trend_reference": 3.274, "distance_from_trend": 0.291998, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.413397, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.752716, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.188404, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.596226, "excess_performance": 0.475805, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.291998, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164296, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.752716, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.330479, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.321884, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134664, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.596226, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.676972, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 395600, "relative_activity": 0.726571, "balance": 2.676972, "dry_up": 1.216126, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096199, "annualized_volatility": 0.523644, "from_high_reference": -0.105708, "from_low_reference": 1.063415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.274, "fair_value_reference": 2.413397, "structural_low": 2.49, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.004082, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.019366, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.340299, "worst_return": -0.176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069672, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.020915, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.35249, "worst_return": -0.192982, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.17284, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.02313, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.208333, "worst_return": -0.210526, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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{ "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.198198, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.06, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.130435, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.596226, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.07, "volume": 346700, "typical_volume": 274275.0, "trend": 2.111333, "fair_value": 2.684752, "relative_strength": -6.320805, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"fair_value": 2.366731, "relative_strength": 32.72578, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.087897, "energy": 45.216906, "activity_lines": [ 3.556667, 3.496182, 3.410619, 3.282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.49, "volume": 1196600, "typical_volume": 633520.0, "trend": 3.141333, "fair_value": 2.382372, "relative_strength": 47.480096, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.559983, "energy": 79.941428, "activity_lines": [ 3.898, 3.683091, 3.520571, 3.373763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.66, "volume": 419700, "typical_volume": 567565.0, "trend": 3.214667, "fair_value": 2.399423, "relative_strength": 51.797057, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.530888, "energy": 90.932984, "activity_lines": [ 4.219333, 3.883455, 3.639571, 3.471742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.23, "volume": 395600, "typical_volume": 544475.0, "trend": 3.274, "fair_value": 2.413397, "relative_strength": 32.188404, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.685717, "energy": 83.576219, "activity_lines": [ 4.31, 3.983636, 3.71, 3.537247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }