{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e970493-a79b-449c-9c0f-091203bc158b", "symbol": "6469", "name": "Great Tree Pharmacy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.446, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.648, "architecture_energy": 25.897, "architecture_maturity": 22.783, "architecture_confidence": 58.385, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.6, "rotation_up": 21.92, "upward_expansion": 15.15, "deceleration": 60.02, "rotation_down": 41.8, "downward_expansion": 60.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.117001, 72.787722, 72.46069, 73.795897 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 69.800003, "trend_reference": 76.68805, "distance_from_trend": -0.089819, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 149.200056, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.532172, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -47.764915, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.204419, "excess_performance": -0.645791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089819, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085938, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.532172, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051505, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.477649, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109091, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.204419, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.113912, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1682160, "relative_activity": 0.648558, "balance": 1.113912, "dry_up": 0.986097, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056567, "annualized_volatility": 0.233228, "from_high_reference": -0.50493, "from_low_reference": 0.060389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.68805, "fair_value_reference": 149.200056, "structural_low": 65.824929, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.025764, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.048231, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.213974, "worst_return": -0.076923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.065319, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.23032, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.603912, "worst_return": -0.236196, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.191908, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.086731, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.515817, "worst_return": -0.132002, 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73.157336, 74.780796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.099998, "volume": 3576103, "typical_volume": 2580158.3, "trend": 77.247603, "fair_value": 150.195488, "relative_strength": -47.102016, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.978289, "energy": 16.197989, "activity_lines": [ 73.564551, 73.388234, 72.808191, 74.276387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.800003, "volume": 1682160, "typical_volume": 2593693.4, "trend": 76.68805, "fair_value": 149.200056, "relative_strength": -47.764915, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.647643, "energy": 25.896512, "activity_lines": [ 72.117001, 72.787722, 72.46069, 73.795897 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }