{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7e975674-2b21-45df-a31a-73c084fe0ddc", "symbol": "300815", "name": "EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.105, "architecture_energy": 61.877, "architecture_maturity": 60.437, "architecture_confidence": 85.281, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 15.75, "upward_expansion": 10.68, "deceleration": 54.03, "rotation_down": 70.2, "downward_expansion": 86.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.902667, 16.502407, 17.970469, 19.121336 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.34, "trend_reference": 20.739376, "distance_from_trend": -0.212127, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.235622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051963, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.210299, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.332516, "excess_performance": -0.339916, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212127, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083989, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 14.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.007596, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034148, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.29235, "worst_return": -0.213666, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009177, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.005587, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.453224, "worst_return": -0.280028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.052394, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.033731, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.293724, "worst_return": -0.257486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 21179597.65, "trend": 21.189042, "fair_value": 17.22679, "relative_strength": -32.261463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.891958, "energy": 70.396309, "activity_lines": [ 16.336667, 17.233465, 18.664195, 19.80089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.27, "volume": 64504442, "typical_volume": 22365082.2, "trend": 20.954042, "fair_value": 17.226567, "relative_strength": -31.81259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.737157, "energy": 70.355068, "activity_lines": [ 15.894667, 16.711237, 18.248237, 19.419016 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.34, "volume": 49389381, "typical_volume": 23707427.4, "trend": 20.739376, "fair_value": 17.235622, "relative_strength": -30.210299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.104868, "energy": 61.876898, "activity_lines": [ 15.902667, 16.502407, 17.970469, 19.121336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }