{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7eaaced5-235a-4dcb-a96b-23174aa108f0", "symbol": "A30", "name": "Aspial Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 59.971, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.185, "architecture_energy": 10.112, "architecture_maturity": 30.201, "architecture_confidence": 84.872, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.39, "rotation_up": 20.16, "upward_expansion": 40.57, "deceleration": 79.04, "rotation_down": 32.85, "downward_expansion": 34.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.134678, 0.136215, 0.140604, 0.137167 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.138, "trend_reference": 0.132596, "distance_from_trend": 0.040752, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.08507, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.622197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.12135, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131148, "excess_performance": -0.023688, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040752, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106814, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.622197, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268789, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021214, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.395972, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131148, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.411414, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1204700, "relative_activity": 0.57225, "balance": 0.411414, "dry_up": 0.260391, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113367, "annualized_volatility": 0.499603, "from_high_reference": -0.211429, "from_low_reference": 0.943662 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.132596, "fair_value_reference": 0.08507, "structural_low": 0.098, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.039602, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.0214, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.352381, "worst_return": -0.069444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.064076, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.088588, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.369781, "worst_return": -0.12987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.149353, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.175152, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.622449, "worst_return": -0.207925, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"relative_strength": -4.555639, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.292021, "energy": 17.473392, "activity_lines": [ 0.136339, 0.143485, 0.140761, 0.135757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.136978, "volume": 114300, "typical_volume": 2121915.0, "trend": 0.129363, "fair_value": 0.08373, "relative_strength": 2.18459, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.924013, "energy": 18.386065, "activity_lines": [ 0.135804, 0.141391, 0.140973, 0.136338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.134, "volume": 511900, "typical_volume": 2055920.0, "trend": 0.130396, "fair_value": 0.084153, "relative_strength": -1.997012, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.017545, "energy": 14.520196, "activity_lines": [ 0.134811, 0.138975, 0.140869, 0.136638 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.132, "volume": 361800, "typical_volume": 2055950.0, "trend": 0.131396, "fair_value": 0.084576, "relative_strength": -4.607333, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.501565, "energy": 14.493391, "activity_lines": [ 0.133351, 0.136759, 0.140479, 0.136741 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.138, "volume": 1204700, "typical_volume": 2105200.0, "trend": 0.132596, "fair_value": 0.08507, "relative_strength": -2.12135, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.184885, "energy": 10.111861, "activity_lines": [ 0.134678, 0.136215, 0.140604, 0.137167 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }