{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7eaf417c-6580-47a5-b77c-e5cda1ba3280", "symbol": "PZX", "name": "Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.004, "architecture_energy": 57.299, "architecture_maturity": 3.917, "architecture_confidence": 58.355, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.54, "rotation_up": 68.71, "upward_expansion": 54.64, "deceleration": 20.52, "rotation_down": 14.52, "downward_expansion": 27.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.3126, 6.174327, 5.77681, 5.842168 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.287, "trend_reference": 6.139871, "distance_from_trend": 0.023963, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.666152, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.714877, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.471581, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.163852, "excess_performance": -0.338098, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023963, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03714, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.714877, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215211, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174716, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110369, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.163852, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.857143, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.857143, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052872, "annualized_volatility": 0.655505, "from_high_reference": -0.203572, "from_low_reference": 0.397364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.139871, "fair_value_reference": 3.666152, "structural_low": 4.499184, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.019558, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.046685, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.019558, "worst_return": -0.019558, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.273044, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.290811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.273044, "worst_return": 0.273044, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.409322, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.426688, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.409322, "worst_return": 1.409322, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.255941, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.108601, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.255941, "worst_return": 1.255941, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.041442, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.30173, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.350388, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.339439, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.07455, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018105, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116705, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031232, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.628857, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057734, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054502, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.359886, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.260994, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.95, "trend": 1.211489, "fair_value": 0.851601, "relative_strength": 16.020328, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.661152, "energy": 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148.7, "trend": 6.212938, "fair_value": 3.602809, "relative_strength": -14.156372, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 24.191087, "energy": 53.887596, "activity_lines": [ 6.101267, 5.980931, 5.617625, 5.817287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.498, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 145.2, "trend": 6.186404, "fair_value": 3.634851, "relative_strength": -12.28285, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.085637, "energy": 62.232926, "activity_lines": [ 6.2696, 6.113745, 5.706158, 5.835678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.287, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 145.2, "trend": 6.139871, "fair_value": 3.666152, "relative_strength": -17.471581, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.004199, "energy": 57.298963, "activity_lines": [ 6.3126, 6.174327, 5.77681, 5.842168 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }