{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ec07566-ed13-46e8-a172-c5d90473dcd8",
    "symbol": "TCU",
    "name": "Credit Bureau Asia Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -80.498,
    "architecture_energy": 83.573,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.144,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.59,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.42,
        "rotation_up": 10.57,
        "upward_expansion": 18.55,
        "deceleration": 37.42,
        "rotation_down": 81.89,
        "downward_expansion": 96.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.096,
        1.112,
        1.125705,
        1.142943
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.08,
    "trend_reference": 1.16985,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.076805,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.072118,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007352,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -26.17552,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.127747,
    "excess_performance": -0.282582,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076805,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037774,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007352,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089425,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.261755,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081733,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127747,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.159215,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 165800,
      "relative_activity": 0.750668,
      "balance": 0.159215,
      "dry_up": 1.038733,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025279,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.166043,
      "from_high_reference": -0.226029,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028571
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.16985,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.072118,
      "structural_low": 1.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.005435,
        "positive_rate": 0.347826,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.652174,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015815,
        "regime_survival": 0.826087,
        "best_return": 0.047872,
        "worst_return": -0.049775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.001007,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013815,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.044444,
        "worst_return": -0.094551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039362,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.023195,
        "worst_return": -0.094551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.006672,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00257,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.007768,
        "worst_return": -0.021113,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005377,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022599,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.140187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.081967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.038342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037037,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.021847,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015503,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-11-28",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 282715.0,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 221220.0,
        "trend": 1.187943,
        "fair_value": 1.067001,
        "relative_strength": -22.940447,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.460098,
        "energy": 50.971669,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.130667,
          1.135299,
          1.142806,
          1.160733
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.09,
        "volume": 467700,
        "typical_volume": 235815.0,
        "trend": 1.181694,
        "fair_value": 1.068735,
        "relative_strength": -25.456492,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.462616,
        "energy": 72.167233,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.115333,
          1.126559,
          1.136479,
          1.154414
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.1,
        "volume": 142800,
        "typical_volume": 233465.0,
        "trend": 1.176105,
        "fair_value": 1.070534,
        "relative_strength": -24.583842,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.494899,
        "energy": 72.93655,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.107333,
          1.120727,
          1.131715,
          1.149143
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.08,
        "volume": 165800,
        "typical_volume": 220870.0,
        "trend": 1.16985,
        "fair_value": 1.072118,
        "relative_strength": -26.17552,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.498338,
        "energy": 83.573419,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.096,
          1.112,
          1.125705,
          1.142943
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}