{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ec36aa5-df4b-4706-8eaf-f07b341716cf", "symbol": "S3N", "name": "Global Resource Construction Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 71.575, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -9.374, "architecture_energy": 8.348, "architecture_maturity": 21.567, "architecture_confidence": 58.022, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.46, "rotation_up": 11.83, "upward_expansion": 19.49, "deceleration": 65.45, "rotation_down": 44.27, "downward_expansion": 55.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.115, 0.115655, 0.115576, 0.114469 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.121, "trend_reference": 0.1167, "distance_from_trend": 0.036847, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.048535, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.493055, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.784823, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047244, "excess_performance": -0.202079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036847, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075101, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.493055, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007848, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.275374, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047244, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.264655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26669600, "relative_activity": 1.006521, "balance": 2.264655, "dry_up": 0.59469, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082009, "annualized_volatility": 0.573118, "from_high_reference": -0.253086, "from_low_reference": 1.4585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1167, "fair_value_reference": 0.048535, "structural_low": 0.088, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.010256, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.25, "worst_return": -0.076899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.160009, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.188098, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.25, "worst_return": -0.159989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.19998, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.246375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.076977, "worst_return": -0.159989, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.076977, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.290326, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048788, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 2.02356, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.241667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", 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0.117091, 0.114443, 0.114824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.112, "volume": 12819900, "typical_volume": 29845980.0, "trend": 0.117433, "fair_value": 0.047312, "relative_strength": -3.169303, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.836768, "energy": 21.343048, "activity_lines": [ 0.112667, 0.116109, 0.114538, 0.114525 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.113, "volume": 12447500, "typical_volume": 27282365.0, "trend": 0.117433, "fair_value": 0.047898, "relative_strength": -3.90569, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.605664, "energy": 21.413324, "activity_lines": [ 0.1124, 0.115236, 0.11469, 0.114239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.121, "volume": 26669600, "typical_volume": 26496810.0, "trend": 0.1167, "fair_value": 0.048535, "relative_strength": 0.784823, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.374412, "energy": 8.348081, "activity_lines": [ 0.115, 0.115655, 0.115576, 0.114469 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }