{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ec4ca66-adeb-4d9b-8541-f8ab0aca8421", "symbol": "300652", "name": "Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.995, "architecture_energy": 80.135, "architecture_maturity": 68.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.004, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.41, "rotation_up": 10.53, "upward_expansion": 19.0, "deceleration": 38.66, "rotation_down": 76.85, "downward_expansion": 94.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.614, 31.06104, 35.902053, 38.626614 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.620001, "trend_reference": 42.979782, "distance_from_trend": -0.310839, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.536916, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.116794, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.317291, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.429946, "excess_performance": -0.437346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.310839, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138092, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.116794, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.591597, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.423173, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096412, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.429946, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.537287, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9008120, "relative_activity": 0.665105, "balance": 0.537287, "dry_up": 1.050034, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162622, "annualized_volatility": 0.548609, "from_high_reference": -0.600862, "from_low_reference": 0.303124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.979782, "fair_value_reference": 33.536916, "structural_low": 22.73, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.017847, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.002202, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.515962, "worst_return": -0.254105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.090712, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.072638, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.283574, "worst_return": -0.160567, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.116475, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.233739, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.633023, "worst_return": -0.276024, "sufficient": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.968928, "energy": 86.254907, "activity_lines": [ 32.721334, 36.204361, 39.435149, 41.865776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.5, "volume": 24735559, "typical_volume": 13415579.8, "trend": 44.644782, "fair_value": 33.387522, "relative_strength": -48.402615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.942614, "energy": 83.729557, "activity_lines": [ 30.183334, 33.857693, 38.029895, 40.643768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.58, "volume": 10589890, "typical_volume": 13478660.65, "trend": 43.821115, "fair_value": 33.452335, "relative_strength": -44.387978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.326445, "energy": 83.139018, "activity_lines": [ 28.878, 32.07771, 36.825212, 39.542815 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.620001, "volume": 9008120, "typical_volume": 13543911.0, "trend": 42.979782, "fair_value": 33.536916, "relative_strength": -42.317291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.9949, "energy": 80.134835, "activity_lines": [ 28.614, 31.06104, 35.902053, 38.626614 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }