{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ec4e208-e486-4b05-bfbc-936da23d92aa", "symbol": "XJB", "name": "G.H.Y Culture & Media Holding Co., Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.803, "architecture_energy": 83.296, "architecture_maturity": 55.255, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 24.4, "upward_expansion": 19.96, "deceleration": 38.38, "rotation_down": 61.49, "downward_expansion": 93.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.071, 0.076127, 0.087407, 0.099409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.071, "trend_reference": 0.113548, "distance_from_trend": -0.374714, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.193439, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.632959, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -55.07714, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.281929, "excess_performance": -0.436764, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.374714, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175216, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.632959, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181238, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.550771, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.265862, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.281929, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.007381, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39000, "relative_activity": 0.318549, "balance": 0.007381, "dry_up": 0.172343, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11629, "annualized_volatility": 0.789459, "from_high_reference": -0.572578, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.113548, "fair_value_reference": 0.193439, "structural_low": 0.071, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.032867, "positive_rate": 0.264706, "directional_follow_through": 0.676471, "median_excess_return": -0.038332, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.275235, "worst_return": -0.239385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.045641, "positive_rate": 0.083333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.075572, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.227277, "worst_return": -0.413043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.109373, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.170496, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.404954, "worst_return": -0.588113, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 0.0898, 0.091881, 0.106961, 0.115658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.071, "volume": 31900, "typical_volume": 127110.0, "trend": 0.123956, "fair_value": 0.200905, "relative_strength": -56.165512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.236637, "energy": 74.478203, "activity_lines": [ 0.083667, 0.087116, 0.102394, 0.112071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.071, "volume": 43400, "typical_volume": 125800.0, "trend": 0.121378, "fair_value": 0.198976, "relative_strength": -55.763566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.786791, "energy": 71.937615, "activity_lines": [ 0.078867, 0.083433, 0.098101, 0.108655 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.071, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 121890.0, "trend": 0.118801, "fair_value": 0.197109, "relative_strength": -55.666679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.184354, "energy": 71.149876, "activity_lines": [ 0.0754, 0.080635, 0.094176, 0.105404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.071, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 121640.0, "trend": 0.116125, "fair_value": 0.195243, "relative_strength": -55.253921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.92125, "energy": 76.373897, "activity_lines": [ 0.072467, 0.078164, 0.090619, 0.10232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.071, "volume": 39000, "typical_volume": 122430.0, "trend": 0.113548, "fair_value": 0.193439, "relative_strength": -55.07714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.803412, "energy": 83.296285, "activity_lines": [ 0.071, 0.076127, 0.087407, 0.099409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }