{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ec5534f-07c3-486c-b662-d8f145ad746b", "symbol": "7783", "name": "Giant", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.415, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 8.635, "architecture_energy": 21.408, "architecture_maturity": 24.055, "architecture_confidence": 53.775, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.34, "rotation_up": 58.97, "upward_expansion": 28.99, "deceleration": 37.32, "rotation_down": 15.16, "downward_expansion": 27.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.066666, 89.50575, 89.685209, 90.507867 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 96.099998, "trend_reference": 93.859451, "distance_from_trend": 0.023871, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 146.274146, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.343014, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -43.385562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.14651, "excess_performance": -0.587882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023871, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133463, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.343014, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018814, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.433856, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14651, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.986069, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67866, "relative_activity": 0.443181, "balance": 0.986069, "dry_up": 1.022317, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104124, "annualized_volatility": 0.736499, "from_high_reference": -0.441574, "from_low_reference": 0.32778 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.859451, "fair_value_reference": 146.274146, "structural_low": 72.376467, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.143203, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.181136, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.143203, "worst_return": -0.143203, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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90.913666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 98.800003, "volume": 283325, "typical_volume": 156321.5, "trend": 96.962491, "fair_value": 148.037728, "relative_strength": -43.174649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.139286, "energy": 17.541773, "activity_lines": [ 86.865226, 85.939057, 88.386987, 90.959192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 89.199997, "volume": 134246, "typical_volume": 153330.55, "trend": 95.62536, "fair_value": 147.39116, "relative_strength": -46.856906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.113714, "energy": 16.867664, "activity_lines": [ 88.713333, 86.29003, 88.439945, 90.458386 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.800003, "volume": 140768, "typical_volume": 153953.55, "trend": 94.507674, "fair_value": 146.819517, "relative_strength": -43.661079, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.597149, "energy": 19.366114, "activity_lines": [ 91.693334, 87.771686, 89.027136, 90.405137 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 96.099998, "volume": 67866, "typical_volume": 153133.75, "trend": 93.859451, "fair_value": 146.274146, "relative_strength": -43.385562, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.635038, "energy": 21.408484, "activity_lines": [ 94.066666, 89.50575, 89.685209, 90.507867 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }