{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ed05530-bc05-497d-8791-7fa9e0baa5d6",
    "symbol": "TE",
    "name": "T1 Energy Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 84.883,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -29.221,
    "architecture_energy": 38.411,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.526,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.348,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.59,
        "rotation_up": 16.68,
        "upward_expansion": 12.6,
        "deceleration": 50.45,
        "rotation_down": 63.95,
        "downward_expansion": 51.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.297333,
        6.329636,
        6.848619,
        6.761656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 5.85,
    "trend_reference": 6.834667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.144069,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.182694,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.838065,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.888876,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.292624,
    "excess_performance": -0.418249,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144069,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099528,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.838065,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068562,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048889,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.443623,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.292624,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.82194,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 269654550,
      "relative_activity": 1.684793,
      "balance": 0.82194,
      "dry_up": 1.439456,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.402932,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.268981,
      "from_high_reference": -0.531625,
      "from_low_reference": 3.875
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.834667,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.182694,
      "structural_low": 3.495,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.172131,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.186022,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.208696,
        "worst_return": -0.243421,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.018017,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038626,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.721311,
        "worst_return": -0.229478,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.223684,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048615,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.688525,
        "worst_return": -0.129664,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.321148,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.516005,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.213115,
        "worst_return": -0.85541,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.478049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.349481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.243243,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.309211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.142857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.434783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 2.33871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.238636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.224652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.425044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.107008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.194118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 133771007.25,
        "trend": 7.053333,
        "fair_value": 3.238912,
        "relative_strength": 2.171718,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.232432,
        "energy": 14.106026,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.203333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 223909520,
        "typical_volume": 141897009.85,
        "trend": 6.993333,
        "fair_value": 3.217887,
        "relative_strength": -12.990072,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.294835,
        "energy": 22.148531,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.17,
        "volume": 229022510,
        "typical_volume": 149918756.8,
        "trend": 6.871,
        "fair_value": 3.193976,
        "relative_strength": -28.870597,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.437169,
        "energy": 37.794228,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.375333,
          6.656364,
          6.925238,
          6.827527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.85,
        "volume": 269654550,
        "typical_volume": 160052056.0,
        "trend": 6.834667,
        "fair_value": 3.182694,
        "relative_strength": -4.888876,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.221335,
        "energy": 38.411096,
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          5.297333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}