{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ed63522-547d-475d-b55a-f55aeb3f9827", "symbol": "600533", "name": "Nanjing Chixia Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.11, "architecture_energy": 39.074, "architecture_maturity": 84.566, "architecture_confidence": 65.536, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.78, "rotation_up": 25.92, "upward_expansion": 17.28, "deceleration": 66.67, "rotation_down": 45.0, "downward_expansion": 69.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.024, 2.008182, 2.126286, 2.232946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.16, "trend_reference": 2.369667, "distance_from_trend": -0.088479, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.509487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.139266, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.082544, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.172414, "excess_performance": -0.12921, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088479, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085894, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.139266, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131782, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.140825, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038131, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.172414, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.431201, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87389965, "relative_activity": 1.216703, "balance": 0.431201, "dry_up": 1.041713, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083689, "annualized_volatility": 0.31293, "from_high_reference": -0.296417, "from_low_reference": 0.186813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.369667, "fair_value_reference": 2.509487, "structural_low": 1.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.033006, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.00886, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.275281, "worst_return": -0.266212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.030956, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.018083, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.338658, "worst_return": -0.241007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.129741, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.055112, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.467391, "worst_return": -0.287162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -23.795014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.448521, "energy": 69.070956, "activity_lines": [ 1.931333, 1.998727, 2.160667, 2.272645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.01, "volume": 56931404, "typical_volume": 71732403.5, "trend": 2.383, "fair_value": 2.517051, "relative_strength": -18.324949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.848539, "energy": 54.249382, "activity_lines": [ 1.955333, 1.986727, 2.134714, 2.247333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.16, "volume": 87389965, "typical_volume": 71825202.25, "trend": 2.369667, "fair_value": 2.509487, "relative_strength": -14.082544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.110083, "energy": 39.074231, "activity_lines": [ 2.024, 2.008182, 2.126286, 2.232946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }