{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7eec8947-8dbb-4c2a-bf83-cab72df33c21", "symbol": "605567", "name": "Springsnow Food Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.116, "architecture_energy": 50.332, "architecture_maturity": 74.993, "architecture_confidence": 88.895, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 27.58, "upward_expansion": 8.56, "deceleration": 60.82, "rotation_down": 46.87, "downward_expansion": 79.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.378, 8.381849, 8.99098, 9.529028 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.79, "trend_reference": 10.203741, "distance_from_trend": -0.138551, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.954776, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.117007, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.185465, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.251915, "excess_performance": -0.208711, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138551, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080704, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.117007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197186, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.151855, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103388, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.251915, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.283474, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18818371, "relative_activity": 1.115685, "balance": 0.283474, "dry_up": 1.307937, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08346, "annualized_volatility": 0.32804, "from_high_reference": -0.282449, "from_low_reference": 0.164238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.203741, "fair_value_reference": 9.954776, "structural_low": 7.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.006625, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.018322, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.156794, "worst_return": -0.196787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.024245, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.0096, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.194751, "worst_return": -0.273092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.131526, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.189256, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.047909, "worst_return": -0.210777, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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{ "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.31, "volume": 18321600, "typical_volume": 16724408.35, "trend": 10.560074, "fair_value": 10.068334, "relative_strength": -22.781884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.912711, "energy": 87.205569, "activity_lines": [ 8.403, 8.827514, 9.604261, 10.076338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.28, "volume": 22322058, "typical_volume": 16983625.0, "trend": 10.484074, "fair_value": 10.040023, "relative_strength": -17.855746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.776202, "energy": 76.747985, "activity_lines": [ 8.336, 8.638123, 9.423869, 9.929236 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.67, "volume": 26005673, "typical_volume": 16985514.5, "trend": 10.361741, "fair_value": 10.007737, "relative_strength": -24.378386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.296301, "energy": 69.051337, "activity_lines": [ 8.108, 8.389622, 9.201621, 9.747683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.46, "volume": 21098347, "typical_volume": 17133576.7, "trend": 10.277407, "fair_value": 9.980262, "relative_strength": -16.538083, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.975996, "energy": 59.179095, "activity_lines": [ 8.198667, 8.338661, 9.072896, 9.62499 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.79, "volume": 18818371, "typical_volume": 16867101.95, "trend": 10.203741, "fair_value": 9.954776, "relative_strength": -15.185465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.115657, "energy": 50.331686, "activity_lines": [ 8.378, 8.381849, 8.99098, 9.529028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }