{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7eee947e-9e3f-4a25-8df8-715c41509b67", "symbol": "4563", "name": "Quaser Machine Tools, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.263, "architecture_energy": 55.048, "architecture_maturity": 25.075, "architecture_confidence": 92.719, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.02, "rotation_up": 15.47, "upward_expansion": 10.84, "deceleration": 41.35, "rotation_down": 61.0, "downward_expansion": 84.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.259999, 40.030908, 42.322381, 43.404946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.599998, "trend_reference": 45.963333, "distance_from_trend": -0.138444, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.168511, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.330725, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.577095, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235521, "excess_performance": -0.676893, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138444, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039763, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.330725, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126626, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.425771, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009872, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235521, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.846037, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 400529, "relative_activity": 0.356743, "balance": 0.846037, "dry_up": 0.437061, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.447719, "from_high_reference": -0.438298, "from_low_reference": 0.107692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.963333, "fair_value_reference": 59.168511, 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"direction": -62.766466, "energy": 48.933333, "activity_lines": [ 40.65, 42.014546, 43.644762, 44.865269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.799999, "volume": 775011, "typical_volume": 1158644.2, "trend": 46.576667, "fair_value": 59.347265, "relative_strength": -44.239353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.070004, "energy": 61.694052, "activity_lines": [ 39.603333, 40.927273, 43.064286, 44.288602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.599998, "volume": 359285, "typical_volume": 1139563.5, "trend": 46.32, "fair_value": 59.26392, "relative_strength": -41.794315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.921435, "energy": 59.430738, "activity_lines": [ 39.303333, 40.398181, 42.685238, 43.838495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 39.599998, "volume": 400529, "typical_volume": 1122739.65, "trend": 45.963333, "fair_value": 59.168511, "relative_strength": -42.577095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.263179, "energy": 55.048433, "activity_lines": [ 39.259999, 40.030908, 42.322381, 43.404946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }