{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ef1bd72-6ee0-43a5-8d6d-55edb336e11e", "symbol": "CEIGALL", "name": "CEIGALL INDIA LIMITED", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.055, "architecture_energy": 21.948, "architecture_maturity": 64.38, "architecture_confidence": 91.354, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.4, "rotation_up": 16.24, "upward_expansion": 51.92, "deceleration": 93.88, "rotation_down": 39.41, "downward_expansion": 20.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 339.843335, 350.570001, 350.500476, 337.486021 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 333.350006, "trend_reference": 319.835, "distance_from_trend": 0.042256, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 300.147488, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.371556, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142196, "excess_performance": 0.185905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042256, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126518, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.110621, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177846, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.143716, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.306526, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142196, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.837572, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 595510, "relative_activity": 0.314376, "balance": 0.837572, "dry_up": 0.610129, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0733, "annualized_volatility": 0.305427, "from_high_reference": -0.147006, "from_low_reference": 0.497462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 319.835, "fair_value_reference": 300.147488, "structural_low": 258.149994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.134751, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.081146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134751, "worst_return": 0.134751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.384843, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.345967, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.384843, "worst_return": 0.384843, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 339.843335, 350.570001, 350.500476, 337.486021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }