{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7ef6851e-455d-4234-84e1-cc882cd2449c",
    "symbol": "2342",
    "name": "Mosel Vitelic Inc.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.345,
    "architecture_energy": 21.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.858,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.63,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.86,
        "rotation_up": 15.04,
        "upward_expansion": 41.57,
        "deceleration": 87.01,
        "rotation_down": 45.91,
        "downward_expansion": 35.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.723333,
        41.842727,
        42.381905,
        40.232151
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 40.700001,
    "trend_reference": 37.613333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082063,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.687265,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284428,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.870392,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.312903,
    "excess_performance": -0.128469,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082063,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149435,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284428,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010048,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118704,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09471,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.312903,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.069834,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13217135,
      "relative_activity": 0.414351,
      "balance": 1.069834,
      "dry_up": 0.400889,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.203553,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.844222,
      "from_high_reference": -0.363067,
      "from_low_reference": 1.045226
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.613333,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.687265,
      "structural_low": 27.65,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.008666,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00942,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.221649,
        "worst_return": -0.017241,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.020559,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.164105,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.046794,
        "worst_return": -0.087911,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.157215,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.196574,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.435009,
        "worst_return": -0.120579,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.533526,
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        "worst_return": -0.197676,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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        "return": 0.007704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "return": 0.004983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 14161778,
        "typical_volume": 31386652.25,
        "trend": 37.023333,
        "fair_value": 31.732313,
        "relative_strength": -11.526842,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 36.241874,
        "energy": 24.318669,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.150002,
        "volume": 13303064,
        "typical_volume": 31736911.65,
        "trend": 37.125,
        "fair_value": 31.689753,
        "relative_strength": -26.12008,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.891116,
        "energy": 17.429195,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.023333,
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          42.616429,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.349998,
        "volume": 10468931,
        "typical_volume": 31543593.65,
        "trend": 37.336667,
        "fair_value": 31.672576,
        "relative_strength": -18.4724,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.469517,
        "energy": 26.033658,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.416666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 40.700001,
        "volume": 13217135,
        "typical_volume": 31898419.75,
        "trend": 37.613333,
        "fair_value": 31.687265,
        "relative_strength": -11.870392,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.344757,
        "energy": 21.467326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}