{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7f083918-1c96-4618-9aa9-e62c9f02cfc1",
    "symbol": "UIMT",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Pacific Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD dis",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.272,
    "architecture_energy": 70.951,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.605,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.139,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.84,
        "rotation_up": 66.07,
        "upward_expansion": 85.19,
        "deceleration": 61.44,
        "rotation_down": 21.98,
        "downward_expansion": 11.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        81.576643
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 88.580002,
    "trend_reference": 79.888994,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.108789,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 70.9821,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24792,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.548508,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.143869,
    "excess_performance": 0.027207,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108789,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042935,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24792,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098603,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025485,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016718,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143869,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.909355,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28739,
      "relative_activity": 2.406972,
      "balance": 3.909355,
      "dry_up": 1.99562,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022057,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.15641,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000677,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25183
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.888994,
      "fair_value_reference": 70.9821,
      "structural_low": 72.550003,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.00222,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009071,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.08347,
        "worst_return": -0.073039,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.10147,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.01256,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.013925,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 30526,
        "typical_volume": 16628.5,
        "trend": 78.849095,
        "fair_value": 70.530601,
        "relative_strength": -1.769045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.58182,
        "energy": 81.291124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 84.279999,
        "volume": 18561,
        "typical_volume": 13865.9,
        "trend": 79.187114,
        "fair_value": 70.659288,
        "relative_strength": -0.620758,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.927812,
        "energy": 74.029044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 84.809998,
        "volume": 17484,
        "typical_volume": 12642.45,
        "trend": 79.534188,
        "fair_value": 70.806841,
        "relative_strength": -0.761211,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.717301,
        "energy": 59.239755,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.497332,
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          80.993043
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.580002,
        "volume": 28739,
        "typical_volume": 11939.9,
        "trend": 79.888994,
        "fair_value": 70.9821,
        "relative_strength": 2.548508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.271779,
        "energy": 70.951139,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}