{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f0e3fa2-7648-4a22-9fa8-22093c1ec268", "symbol": "BRI", "name": "Britania Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 50.99, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.102, "architecture_energy": 30.843, "architecture_maturity": 9.573, "architecture_confidence": 67.39, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.07, "rotation_up": 62.06, "upward_expansion": 39.46, "deceleration": 27.54, "rotation_down": 15.45, "downward_expansion": 21.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.344, 1.319818, 1.302762, 1.311789 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.39, "trend_reference": 1.33058, "distance_from_trend": 0.044657, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.634768, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.617582, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.398657, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.033318, "excess_performance": -0.159007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044657, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054175, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.617582, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073474, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074032, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033318, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.790604, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1761700, "relative_activity": 1.213969, "balance": 3.790604, "dry_up": 1.325292, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049806, "annualized_volatility": 0.258117, "from_high_reference": -0.321616, "from_low_reference": 0.139344 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.33058, "fair_value_reference": 3.634768, "structural_low": 1.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058717, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.058218, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.109196, "worst_return": -0.118012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.186047, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.16893, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.109341, "worst_return": -0.284018, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.400613, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.368321, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.132475, "worst_return": -0.627851, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.518777, "energy": 19.62446, "activity_lines": [ 1.287333, 1.280545, 1.288184, 1.31294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.31, "volume": 3356300, "typical_volume": 1432465.0, "trend": 1.344505, "fair_value": 3.764414, "relative_strength": -26.762154, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.850621, "energy": 15.139673, "activity_lines": [ 1.298, 1.286, 1.288549, 1.310301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.31, "volume": 816900, "typical_volume": 1378550.0, "trend": 1.33875, "fair_value": 3.720308, "relative_strength": -26.433756, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.425356, "energy": 14.602067, "activity_lines": [ 1.305333, 1.291273, 1.28969, 1.308074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.34, "volume": 1758100, "typical_volume": 1387745.0, "trend": 1.333668, "fair_value": 3.677799, "relative_strength": -23.354049, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.488603, "energy": 11.436443, "activity_lines": [ 1.32, 1.301636, 1.29381, 1.308155 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.39, "volume": 1761700, "typical_volume": 1451190.0, "trend": 1.33058, "fair_value": 3.634768, "relative_strength": -19.398657, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.10227, "energy": 30.842733, "activity_lines": [ 1.344, 1.319818, 1.302762, 1.311789 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }