{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7f2c92bf-fb7a-4dba-9d9f-6373ab07dced",
    "symbol": "GODREJCP",
    "name": "Godrej Consumer Products Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 81.153,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -11.312,
    "architecture_energy": 9.456,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.582,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.082,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.77,
        "rotation_up": 30.65,
        "upward_expansion": 33.98,
        "deceleration": 37.32,
        "rotation_down": 25.16,
        "downward_expansion": 42.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1062.820011,
        1058.774556,
        1050.449111,
        1057.221719
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1050.0,
    "trend_reference": 1081.984418,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.029561,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1149.873394,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086856,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.234056,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.107108,
    "excess_performance": -0.063399,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029561,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032615,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086856,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008113,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052341,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020787,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107108,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.30361,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5696653,
      "relative_activity": 1.066468,
      "balance": 1.30361,
      "dry_up": 0.590466,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043376,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245425,
      "from_high_reference": -0.186822,
      "from_low_reference": 0.091173
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1081.984418,
      "fair_value_reference": 1149.873394,
      "structural_low": 962.266833,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.022737,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010914,
        "regime_survival": 0.307692,
        "best_return": 0.194117,
        "worst_return": -0.14012,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.054268,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036354,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.238088,
        "worst_return": -0.160102,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.037413,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01142,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.34202,
        "worst_return": -0.069188,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.001687,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0147,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.104012,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.073066,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.066827,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.03005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.034697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1050.0,
        "volume": 5696653,
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        "trend": 1081.984418,
        "fair_value": 1149.873394,
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        "stage": 4,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}