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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.073, "architecture_energy": 53.416, "architecture_maturity": 37.031, "architecture_confidence": 66.333, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.11, "rotation_up": 70.16, "upward_expansion": 78.16, "deceleration": 56.19, "rotation_down": 10.83, "downward_expansion": 9.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.653334, 94.496728, 93.53854, 92.866904 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 99.099998, "trend_reference": 89.047845, "distance_from_trend": 0.112885, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 69.391498, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.428129, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.753713, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.420752, "excess_performance": 0.477801, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112885, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126107, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current 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85.68, "volume": 1577, "typical_volume": 10946.75, "trend": 84.103158, "fair_value": 68.367173, "relative_strength": 5.022158, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.194457, "energy": 35.269797, "activity_lines": [ 84.326667, 87.524279, 91.194006, 89.189185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 94.809998, "volume": 1855, "typical_volume": 10244.05, "trend": 85.18695, "fair_value": 68.591386, "relative_strength": 18.847419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.614153, "energy": 18.756873, "activity_lines": [ 87.599999, 88.427637, 91.389121, 89.879948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.800003, "volume": 1629, "typical_volume": 8690.15, "trend": 86.503677, "fair_value": 68.882464, "relative_strength": 28.189432, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.476834, "energy": 31.00955, "activity_lines": [ 93.324001, 90.673819, 92.254058, 91.016274 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 103.900002, "volume": 3954, "typical_volume": 7785.3, "trend": 87.811559, "fair_value": 69.155901, "relative_strength": 26.295151, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.7757, "energy": 44.450204, "activity_lines": [ 98.078668, 93.069092, 93.150589, 92.138618 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.099998, "volume": 2779, "typical_volume": 5703.05, "trend": 89.047845, "fair_value": 69.391498, "relative_strength": 23.753713, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.072951, "energy": 53.4163, "activity_lines": [ 99.653334, 94.496728, 93.53854, 92.866904 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }