{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f38bcf2-247a-43d7-9324-2809a617fed9", "symbol": "601880", "name": "Liaoning Port Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.47, "architecture_energy": 31.696, "architecture_maturity": 77.597, "architecture_confidence": 83.116, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.79, "rotation_up": 27.51, "upward_expansion": 17.89, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 31.59, "downward_expansion": 65.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.464799, 1.447882, 1.49976, 1.543948 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.46, "trend_reference": 1.59122, "distance_from_trend": -0.082465, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.50492, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029848, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.888166, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.130952, "excess_performance": -0.087749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082465, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037762, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029848, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143955, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098882, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041873, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.077292, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 474525925, "relative_activity": 1.057565, "balance": 1.077292, "dry_up": 1.104181, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048581, "annualized_volatility": 0.225984, "from_high_reference": -0.247423, "from_low_reference": 0.079258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.59122, "fair_value_reference": 1.50492, "structural_low": 1.352781, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.007993, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.003515, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.221312, "worst_return": -0.037879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.005933, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.000881, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.404959, "worst_return": -0.099338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006077, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.030648, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.307543, "worst_return": -0.057455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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1.604554, "fair_value": 1.505683, "relative_strength": -8.264267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.877898, "energy": 87.48319, "activity_lines": [ 1.403354, 1.452606, 1.527378, 1.567797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.46, "volume": 488570798, "typical_volume": 492412517.65, "trend": 1.59922, "fair_value": 1.505405, "relative_strength": -7.369445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.980343, "energy": 68.086085, "activity_lines": [ 1.420876, 1.445577, 1.515299, 1.558471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.51, "volume": 496203681, "typical_volume": 467557809.4, "trend": 1.595887, "fair_value": 1.505447, "relative_strength": -4.445791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.691933, "energy": 43.556937, "activity_lines": [ 1.455758, 1.450366, 1.509268, 1.552715 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.46, "volume": 474525925, "typical_volume": 448696711.1, "trend": 1.59122, "fair_value": 1.50492, "relative_strength": -9.888166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.470133, "energy": 31.696312, "activity_lines": [ 1.464799, 1.447882, 1.49976, 1.543948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }