{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f5b39af-327c-4285-8394-38a2fc4f4efd", "symbol": "1307", "name": "San Fang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.949, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.579, "architecture_energy": 10.86, "architecture_maturity": 33.478, "architecture_confidence": 77.451, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.17, "rotation_up": 21.11, "upward_expansion": 52.63, "deceleration": 88.72, "rotation_down": 30.64, "downward_expansion": 18.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.593333, 32.065185, 31.804763, 31.561583 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 30.4, "trend_reference": 31.240047, "distance_from_trend": -0.02689, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.356562, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035544, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.38795, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041494, "excess_performance": -0.399878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02689, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018529, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035544, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020391, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29388, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058516, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041494, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.992199, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5395290, "relative_activity": 1.086127, "balance": 0.992199, "dry_up": 0.731237, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069823, "annualized_volatility": 0.301281, "from_high_reference": -0.154296, "from_low_reference": 0.101717 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.240047, "fair_value_reference": 29.356562, "structural_low": 28.250279, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.011182, "positive_rate": 0.722222, "directional_follow_through": 0.722222, "median_excess_return": 0.000668, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.210526, "worst_return": -0.038242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.045113, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.040879, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.265822, "worst_return": -0.026793, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.070246, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.006617, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.264097, "worst_return": -0.040532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 32.133333, 32.476236, 31.786455, 31.525694 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.5, "volume": 1967211, "typical_volume": 5025792.05, "trend": 31.226266, "fair_value": 29.286321, "relative_strength": -22.726051, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.519993, "energy": 16.681486, "activity_lines": [ 32.176666, 32.491295, 31.896454, 31.61489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.4, "volume": 5395290, "typical_volume": 4967458.8, "trend": 31.240047, "fair_value": 29.356562, "relative_strength": -29.38795, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.5793, "energy": 10.860392, "activity_lines": [ 31.593333, 32.065185, 31.804763, 31.561583 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }