{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f89b0c3-33a5-40e6-b7ab-c6e98961f383", "symbol": "300174", "name": "Fujian Yuanli Active Carbon Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 93.899, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.214, "architecture_energy": 33.808, "architecture_maturity": 58.514, "architecture_confidence": 52.027, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.59, "rotation_up": 16.71, "upward_expansion": 18.89, "deceleration": 69.92, "rotation_down": 64.2, "downward_expansion": 41.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.664, 21.669433, 22.129185, 21.067785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.280001, "trend_reference": 19.643187, "distance_from_trend": -0.018489, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.003879, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.204708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.150005, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.177764, "excess_performance": 0.170364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018489, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1478, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.204708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0315, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130708, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177764, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.207701, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91922545, "relative_activity": 0.977611, "balance": 1.207701, "dry_up": 1.082567, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.214961, "annualized_volatility": 0.762946, "from_high_reference": -0.415144, "from_low_reference": 0.298109 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.643187, "fair_value_reference": 16.003879, "structural_low": 15.43, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006419, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.060002, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.246613, "worst_return": -0.179972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.051932, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.073543, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.270528, "worst_return": -0.250802, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.105166, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.027219, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135858, "worst_return": 0.074475, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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18.059999, "volume": 109516254, "typical_volume": 88791105.2, "trend": 19.468407, "fair_value": 15.981909, "relative_strength": 0.091935, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.149713, "energy": 19.937548, "activity_lines": [ 21.730816, 23.979688, 22.668299, 21.238918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.049999, "volume": 93128601, "typical_volume": 91474506.7, "trend": 19.514157, "fair_value": 15.982755, "relative_strength": -3.89803, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.568074, "energy": 33.453557, "activity_lines": [ 19.37457, 22.568469, 22.292171, 21.082892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.280001, "volume": 91922545, "typical_volume": 94027705.45, "trend": 19.643187, "fair_value": 16.003879, "relative_strength": 3.150005, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.21436, "energy": 33.808086, "activity_lines": [ 18.664, 21.669433, 22.129185, 21.067785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }