{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f91c83e-d2b4-48a5-816d-dea59eb702f3", "symbol": "TSLS", "name": "Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.124, "architecture_energy": 70.64, "architecture_maturity": 11.573, "architecture_confidence": 68.925, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.9, "rotation_up": 73.31, "upward_expansion": 88.79, "deceleration": 44.87, "rotation_down": 10.95, "downward_expansion": 17.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.082573, 59.890922, 57.438363, 57.205273 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 63.2, "trend_reference": 56.44572, "distance_from_trend": 0.11966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 120.984688, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.47762, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.433215, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.153613, "excess_performance": -0.03384, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11966, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036796, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.47762, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134159, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024332, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.285047, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.153613, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.177132, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1054643, "relative_activity": 0.343577, "balance": 1.177132, "dry_up": 0.654849, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085389, "annualized_volatility": 0.443701, "from_high_reference": -0.166915, "from_low_reference": 0.390325 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.44572, "fair_value_reference": 120.984688, "structural_low": 48.417904, 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124.71915, "relative_strength": -18.902143, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.228632, "energy": 5.355288, "activity_lines": [ 55.04794, 54.056715, 55.322835, 55.349626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 52.1686, "volume": 2309351, "typical_volume": 40724932.05, "trend": 54.623153, "fair_value": 123.991849, "relative_strength": -22.604667, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.470014, "energy": 6.952723, "activity_lines": [ 54.111165, 53.785627, 54.932787, 55.196602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 55.82, "volume": 2484240, "typical_volume": 26265291.55, "trend": 54.912831, "fair_value": 123.210994, "relative_strength": -12.68539, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.793682, "energy": 5.138593, "activity_lines": [ 54.634502, 54.256445, 54.902474, 55.273818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.45, "volume": 2811266, "typical_volume": 5650337.9, "trend": 55.536996, "fair_value": 122.529764, "relative_strength": 6.449818, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.202428, "energy": 44.603704, "activity_lines": [ 58.53572, 56.580166, 55.885766, 56.018152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.77, "volume": 1690349, "typical_volume": 3087054.1, "trend": 56.03263, "fair_value": 121.795197, "relative_strength": 7.423413, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.752204, "energy": 69.831604, "activity_lines": [ 61.725813, 58.699095, 56.853926, 56.742862 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.2, "volume": 1054643, "typical_volume": 3069598.7, "trend": 56.44572, "fair_value": 120.984688, "relative_strength": -2.433215, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.123659, "energy": 70.64036, "activity_lines": [ 63.082573, 59.890922, 57.438363, 57.205273 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }