{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f924945-2920-4481-9466-f04ed5c7e9be", "symbol": "USFM", "name": "UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.812, "architecture_energy": 58.084, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.247, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.67, "rotation_up": 48.03, "upward_expansion": 72.5, "deceleration": 65.5, "rotation_down": 27.84, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 3271.5, 3275.127273, 3221.890476, 3156.485748 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3304.0, "trend_reference": 3078.711605, "distance_from_trend": 0.073176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2681.167096, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.232299, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.007289, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1176, "excess_performance": 0.066364, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044891, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.232299, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049828, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020073, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003915, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1176, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.371525, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14751, "relative_activity": 12.519946, "balance": 18.371525, "dry_up": 3.4697, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01596, "annualized_volatility": 0.089919, "from_high_reference": -0.132542, "from_low_reference": 0.232904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3078.711605, "fair_value_reference": 2681.167096, "structural_low": 2848.0, 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54.066261, "activity_lines": [ 3259.633333, 3266.6, 3205.045238, 3141.174317 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3304.0, "volume": 14751, "typical_volume": 1178.2, "trend": 3078.711605, "fair_value": 2681.167096, "relative_strength": 2.007289, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.811746, "energy": 58.084397, "activity_lines": [ 3271.5, 3275.127273, 3221.890476, 3156.485748 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }