{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7f9aa3bd-61fb-4eb7-8543-a90768d03f0d", "symbol": "SWK", "name": "Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.383, "architecture_energy": 90.68, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.81, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.85, "rotation_up": 81.86, "upward_expansion": 95.0, "deceleration": 43.82, "rotation_down": 12.55, "downward_expansion": 19.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.362667, 81.012182, 75.61469, 72.666817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 89.139999, "trend_reference": 70.327494, "distance_from_trend": 0.267499, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.679422, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261187, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.074916, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.185358, "excess_performance": 0.011111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.267499, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08952, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261187, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.2915, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.100749, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.163099, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.185358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.568093, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 231, "relative_activity": 2.84658, "balance": 3.568093, "dry_up": 2.80037, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042516, "annualized_volatility": 0.330592, "from_high_reference": -0.007571, "from_low_reference": 0.739396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.327494, "fair_value_reference": 70.679422, "structural_low": 56.44805, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.03941, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041191, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.108603, "worst_return": -0.15591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.059731, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.088569, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.032616, "worst_return": -0.071956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068113, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.185742, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.056736, "worst_return": -0.152457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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87.917933, "activity_lines": [ 78.945334, 76.002469, 71.267576, 69.808358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 80.540001, "volume": 15, "typical_volume": 43.25, "trend": 69.085453, "fair_value": 70.582216, "relative_strength": 2.771016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.240216, "energy": 85.961484, "activity_lines": [ 79.561335, 77.375898, 72.487376, 70.586653 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 81.860001, "volume": 663, "typical_volume": 76.4, "trend": 69.672009, "fair_value": 70.597721, "relative_strength": 4.358994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.445636, "energy": 68.957524, "activity_lines": [ 80.282668, 78.687083, 73.752938, 71.410817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 89.139999, "volume": 231, "typical_volume": 81.15, "trend": 70.327494, "fair_value": 70.679422, "relative_strength": 10.074916, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.383082, "energy": 90.679833, "activity_lines": [ 83.362667, 81.012182, 75.61469, 72.666817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }