{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fa3b69c-b795-4708-87c8-24e3980ee269", "symbol": "JYD", "name": "Jayud Global Logistics Limited Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.773, "architecture_energy": 40.952, "architecture_maturity": 64.11, "architecture_confidence": 76.192, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.74, "rotation_up": 26.93, "upward_expansion": 18.3, "deceleration": 58.81, "rotation_down": 41.48, "downward_expansion": 68.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.874567, 0.832951, 1.406701, 1.846746 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.931, "trend_reference": 2.351103, "distance_from_trend": -0.604016, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.559415, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.980828, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -79.253568, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.624597, "excess_performance": -0.81205, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.604016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313338, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.980828, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057263, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.792536, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.411356, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.624597, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.156228, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 394875, "relative_activity": 0.192391, "balance": 0.156228, "dry_up": 0.449743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.76131, "annualized_volatility": 2.773364, "from_high_reference": -0.9069, "from_low_reference": 0.980851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.351103, "fair_value_reference": 48.559415, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.076472, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.071501, "regime_survival": 0.928571, "best_return": 0.765306, "worst_return": -0.464941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.421527, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.461462, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.198161, "worst_return": -0.75125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.728298, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.923086, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.629425, "worst_return": -0.827171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 43.057592, "activity_lines": [ 0.833827, 0.804493, 1.521112, 1.946331 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.931, "volume": 394875, "typical_volume": 2052462.9, "trend": 2.351103, "fair_value": 48.559415, "relative_strength": -79.253568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.77256, "energy": 40.951845, "activity_lines": [ 0.874567, 0.832951, 1.406701, 1.846746 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }