{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fb4fd0a-e16e-4553-a45d-d8986b282663", "symbol": "E2ST34", "name": "Elastic N.V.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.803, "architecture_energy": 94.847, "architecture_maturity": 42.0, "architecture_confidence": 71.454, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.22, "rotation_up": 87.07, "upward_expansion": 99.74, "deceleration": 39.09, "rotation_down": 9.39, "downward_expansion": 21.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.537334, 27.322, 25.567571, 24.69929 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.780001, "trend_reference": 24.638, "distance_from_trend": 0.289877, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.186346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.167765, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.577797, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.239953, "excess_performance": 0.297002, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.289877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092712, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.167765, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273192, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005778, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.477494, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.239953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.412698, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2111, "relative_activity": 4.757183, "balance": 3.412698, "dry_up": 1.32507, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05313, "annualized_volatility": 0.57676, "from_high_reference": -0.257477, "from_low_reference": 0.777405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.638, "fair_value_reference": 38.186346, "structural_low": 17.879999, "invalidation": "A 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28.081962, "activity_lines": [ 25.359999, 24.989272, 23.313714, 23.883828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.790001, "volume": 26, "typical_volume": 398.55, "trend": 25.533666, "fair_value": 38.108013, "relative_strength": -21.473, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.985246, "energy": 35.255887, "activity_lines": [ 25.686667, 25.505454, 23.699857, 23.946881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.25, "volume": 64, "typical_volume": 381.45, "trend": 25.235666, "fair_value": 38.116282, "relative_strength": -20.163899, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.72164, "energy": 35.340972, "activity_lines": [ 25.861333, 25.786182, 24.026, 23.993097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.25, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 332.6, "trend": 24.937666, "fair_value": 38.124551, "relative_strength": -19.235119, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.225972, "energy": 40.877039, "activity_lines": [ 26.1, 25.976909, 24.332333, 24.058537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.780001, "volume": 177, "typical_volume": 338.35, "trend": 24.690667, "fair_value": 38.142628, "relative_strength": -15.306211, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.357604, "energy": 64.777333, "activity_lines": [ 26.774667, 26.327818, 24.770238, 24.241914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.780001, "volume": 2111, "typical_volume": 443.75, "trend": 24.638, "fair_value": 38.186346, "relative_strength": 0.577797, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.802754, "energy": 94.846606, "activity_lines": [ 28.537334, 27.322, 25.567571, 24.69929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }