{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fba65c9-03b9-410e-9818-15c9f86370ec", "symbol": "300335", "name": "Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.4, "architecture_energy": 33.401, "architecture_maturity": 69.601, "architecture_confidence": 86.664, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.9, "rotation_up": 26.79, "upward_expansion": 17.24, "deceleration": 46.89, "rotation_down": 34.5, "downward_expansion": 64.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.268, 5.206364, 5.551719, 5.875964 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.34, "trend_reference": 6.138677, "distance_from_trend": -0.130106, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.152425, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036405, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.445195, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.109579, "excess_performance": -0.116979, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130106, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034442, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.036405, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276603, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.144452, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109579, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.556757, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73548036, "relative_activity": 0.57589, "balance": 0.556757, "dry_up": 1.003445, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101441, "annualized_volatility": 0.509876, "from_high_reference": -0.413766, "from_low_reference": 0.150862 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.138677, "fair_value_reference": 5.152425, "structural_low": 4.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.035941, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.02971, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.289894, "worst_return": -0.128834, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.103772, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.003797, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.359897, "worst_return": -0.181276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.174844, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.084179, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.277635, "worst_return": -0.041877, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-65.756455, "energy": 78.613552, "activity_lines": [ 5.097333, 5.282884, 5.810742, 6.046941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.22, "volume": 233255254, "typical_volume": 149593198.85, "trend": 6.162495, "fair_value": 5.149994, "relative_strength": -14.209734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.001446, "energy": 51.808851, "activity_lines": [ 5.143333, 5.225091, 5.708844, 5.985141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.28, "volume": 113222153, "typical_volume": 137440884.65, "trend": 6.14975, "fair_value": 5.150505, "relative_strength": -11.438885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.180361, "energy": 41.372847, "activity_lines": [ 5.207333, 5.202364, 5.62152, 5.928206 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.34, "volume": 73548036, "typical_volume": 127712026.85, "trend": 6.138677, "fair_value": 5.152425, "relative_strength": -14.445195, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.400112, "energy": 33.400559, "activity_lines": [ 5.268, 5.206364, 5.551719, 5.875964 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }