{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fc25f25-2972-4861-8791-f21627eaf2d9", "symbol": "3303", "name": "Univacco Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.102, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.237, "architecture_energy": 22.019, "architecture_maturity": 45.161, "architecture_confidence": 70.464, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.52, "rotation_up": 33.78, "upward_expansion": 64.14, "deceleration": 84.78, "rotation_down": 25.41, "downward_expansion": 14.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.426667, 54.046634, 52.505633, 50.659102 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 52.200001, "trend_reference": 48.390309, "distance_from_trend": 0.078728, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.003101, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273074, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.891365, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.232881, "excess_performance": -0.208491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078728, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086351, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058173, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.198914, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099749, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.232881, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.393212, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2676743, "relative_activity": 0.635955, "balance": 1.393212, "dry_up": 0.76947, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097261, "annualized_volatility": 0.322463, "from_high_reference": -0.167464, "from_low_reference": 0.258272 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.390309, "fair_value_reference": 41.003101, "structural_low": 42.339865, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.033471, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.099029, "worst_return": -0.106115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.037477, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020515, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.08, "worst_return": -0.154181, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.003597, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.01858, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.102, "worst_return": -0.172474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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55.744323, 53.637686, 50.463142, 48.687781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 13010829, "typical_volume": 3765152.05, "trend": 46.94478, "fair_value": 40.199655, "relative_strength": -14.329452, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.365697, "energy": 47.363949, "activity_lines": [ 55.058242, 53.99444, 50.985441, 49.15327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.200001, "volume": 3004192, "typical_volume": 3850593.9, "trend": 47.222713, "fair_value": 40.386779, "relative_strength": -19.602347, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.068986, "energy": 34.192339, "activity_lines": [ 53.646509, 53.797828, 51.222275, 49.4278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.0, "volume": 3386260, "typical_volume": 3974951.6, "trend": 47.635225, "fair_value": 40.598814, "relative_strength": -11.926392, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.57571, "energy": 30.775011, "activity_lines": [ 53.948694, 54.209566, 51.793514, 49.929561 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.799999, "volume": 3887647, "typical_volume": 4113909.45, "trend": 48.056891, "fair_value": 40.809015, "relative_strength": -13.751969, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.27929, "energy": 27.36814, "activity_lines": [ 54.093333, 54.436744, 52.296721, 50.391804 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 52.200001, "volume": 2676743, "typical_volume": 4209014.45, "trend": 48.390309, "fair_value": 41.003101, "relative_strength": -19.891365, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.237026, "energy": 22.018864, "activity_lines": [ 53.426667, 54.046634, 52.505633, 50.659102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }