{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7fc913b0-def1-4cd9-a6b4-c339ebd0613f",
    "symbol": "PROGEN",
    "name": "Prostatype Genomics AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.587,
    "architecture_energy": 56.791,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.055,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.382,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.19,
        "rotation_up": 21.24,
        "upward_expansion": 9.26,
        "deceleration": 52.13,
        "rotation_down": 65.18,
        "downward_expansion": 87.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.1587,
        0.223423,
        0.374752,
        0.533381
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.1495,
    "trend_reference": 0.783552,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.809202,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 14.885117,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.989956,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -80.969151,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.895455,
    "excess_performance": -0.956949,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.809202,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085882,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.989956,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018835,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.809692,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.553924,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.895455,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.137707,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4585647,
      "relative_activity": 1.913277,
      "balance": 1.137707,
      "dry_up": 2.660669,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 1.476359,
      "annualized_volatility": 2.285529,
      "from_high_reference": -0.93443,
      "from_low_reference": 0.309784
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.783552,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.885117,
      "structural_low": 0.114141,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": -0.114007,
        "positive_rate": 0.409091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.568182,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099922,
        "regime_survival": 0.909091,
        "best_return": 2.418919,
        "worst_return": -0.802853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.250215,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
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        "worst_return": -0.761468,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.545401,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.841463,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.943267,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-05-12",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 3699392,
        "typical_volume": 1857556.35,
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        "fair_value": 16.388739,
        "relative_strength": -79.746763,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -68.250876,
        "energy": 80.729075,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.16,
        "volume": 7545948,
        "typical_volume": 2192361.6,
        "trend": 0.803168,
        "fair_value": 15.604907,
        "relative_strength": -79.685715,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.44257,
        "energy": 64.020341,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.16047,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.1495,
        "volume": 4585647,
        "typical_volume": 2396749.95,
        "trend": 0.783552,
        "fair_value": 14.885117,
        "relative_strength": -80.969151,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.586623,
        "energy": 56.790868,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}