{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7fcd3056-fc9a-460a-a0d7-6fdcf4243b32",
    "symbol": "OVS",
    "name": "OVS S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.637,
    "architecture_energy": 61.138,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.122,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.993,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.25,
        "rotation_up": 50.29,
        "upward_expansion": 82.4,
        "deceleration": 69.71,
        "rotation_down": 28.63,
        "downward_expansion": 11.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.25,
        6.225536,
        5.929074,
        5.640402
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 6.34,
    "trend_reference": 5.315845,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.192661,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.394402,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.867781,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.858902,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.268,
    "excess_performance": 0.097108,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192661,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114695,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.867781,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142724,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118589,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025438,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.268,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.543642,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1814901,
      "relative_activity": 1.149988,
      "balance": 1.543642,
      "dry_up": 0.946905,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045998,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.288326,
      "from_high_reference": -0.029839,
      "from_low_reference": 0.73224
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.315845,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.394402,
      "structural_low": 4.2,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.010707,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01147,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.371296,
        "worst_return": -0.130994,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.141109,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.30357,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.151975,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1625342.95,
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        "fair_value": 3.340875,
        "relative_strength": 13.508657,
        "stage": 2,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.28,
        "volume": 1659721,
        "typical_volume": 1588220.8,
        "trend": 5.266711,
        "fair_value": 3.367279,
        "relative_strength": 14.699423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.113357,
        "energy": 59.988475,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.203333,
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          5.571157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.34,
        "volume": 1814901,
        "typical_volume": 1578190.75,
        "trend": 5.315845,
        "fair_value": 3.394402,
        "relative_strength": 11.858902,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.637356,
        "energy": 61.137551,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}