{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fd461cf-4e62-473d-8d96-bc32790b38c3", "symbol": "OWNS", "name": "QUAKER INVESTMENT TRUST CCM AFFORDABLE HSG MBS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.303, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.594, "architecture_energy": 53.313, "architecture_maturity": 2.719, "architecture_confidence": 88.16, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.63, "rotation_up": 12.8, "upward_expansion": 10.97, "deceleration": 39.55, "rotation_down": 61.85, "downward_expansion": 84.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.096667, 17.147895, 17.179077, 17.223449 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.13, "trend_reference": 17.285371, "distance_from_trend": -0.008989, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.56339, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.034209, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.390236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.015913, "excess_performance": -0.141538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008989, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001177, "read": "Falling" 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"stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.774869, "energy": 63.109045, "activity_lines": [ 17.133701, 17.197461, 17.271363, 17.298396 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 17.185652, "volume": 67123, "typical_volume": 108313.25, "trend": 17.306, "fair_value": 16.521482, "relative_strength": -9.231762, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.176424, "energy": 40.976757, "activity_lines": [ 17.148711, 17.184146, 17.257602, 17.290757 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 17.24558, "volume": 47055, "typical_volume": 107435.55, "trend": 17.307321, "fair_value": 16.527618, "relative_strength": -9.428832, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.400264, "energy": 23.023544, "activity_lines": [ 17.188353, 17.18508, 17.250298, 17.286858 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 17.349688, "volume": 124002, "typical_volume": 109205.95, "trend": 17.310811, "fair_value": 16.534526, "relative_strength": -6.42718, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.268899, "energy": 13.249192, "activity_lines": [ 17.248169, 17.207568, 17.253534, 17.289592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 17.2501, "volume": 55890, "typical_volume": 109239.0, "trend": 17.312608, "fair_value": 16.54049, "relative_strength": -8.693495, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.018784, "energy": 18.309099, "activity_lines": [ 17.257283, 17.214766, 17.24756, 17.285675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.17, "volume": 39920, "typical_volume": 106164.75, "trend": 17.312061, "fair_value": 16.545692, "relative_strength": -10.073383, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.997726, "energy": 19.88471, "activity_lines": [ 17.238418, 17.210671, 17.235502, 17.276474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.195, "volume": 40950, "typical_volume": 105931.5, "trend": 17.310066, "fair_value": 16.551014, "relative_strength": -8.293626, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.757821, "energy": 15.951386, "activity_lines": [ 17.22335, 17.211505, 17.22766, 17.268922 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.04, "volume": 114331, "typical_volume": 60504.1, "trend": 17.301273, "fair_value": 16.55499, "relative_strength": -8.365267, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.819492, "energy": 39.831192, "activity_lines": [ 17.155993, 17.185257, 17.20715, 17.251499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.03, "volume": 70863, "typical_volume": 61323.3, "trend": 17.293489, "fair_value": 16.558821, "relative_strength": -9.111024, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.625875, "energy": 57.707572, "activity_lines": [ 17.099007, 17.156966, 17.187713, 17.233997 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.13, "volume": 41363, "typical_volume": 61387.1, "trend": 17.285371, "fair_value": 16.56339, "relative_strength": -11.390236, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.593748, "energy": 53.312619, "activity_lines": [ 17.096667, 17.147895, 17.179077, 17.223449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }