{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7fe5fa7a-7b70-48a4-b064-d6955316b28d", "symbol": "WALCHANNAG", "name": "Walchandnagar Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.902, "architecture_energy": 21.696, "architecture_maturity": 64.696, "architecture_confidence": 93.775, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.38, "rotation_up": 18.55, "upward_expansion": 52.08, "deceleration": 93.63, "rotation_down": 33.66, "downward_expansion": 18.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 236.120002, 247.128183, 245.295049, 229.497485 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 230.740005, "trend_reference": 209.234001, "distance_from_trend": 0.102784, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 214.551603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075452, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.487727, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.298334, "excess_performance": 0.342044, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102784, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147878, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075452, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.190553, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.174877, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.217418, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.298334, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.206257, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2222579, "relative_activity": 0.342626, "balance": 1.206257, "dry_up": 0.53461, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135314, "annualized_volatility": 0.60981, "from_high_reference": -0.269348, "from_low_reference": 0.75936 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 209.234001, "fair_value_reference": 214.551603, "structural_low": 131.149994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.044006, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.046447, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.175769, "worst_return": -0.167415, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.236288, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.252622, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.32387, "worst_return": -0.26375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.198963, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.269034, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.299758, "worst_return": -0.422147, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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202.463334, "fair_value": 211.16609, "relative_strength": 37.099563, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.277131, "energy": 47.915189, "activity_lines": [ 266.0, 261.948001, 239.587048, 221.414689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 245.899994, "volume": 4944498, "typical_volume": 6487642.8, "trend": 204.125334, "fair_value": 212.156475, "relative_strength": 28.018735, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.598741, "energy": 29.227997, "activity_lines": [ 257.579998, 259.923999, 242.465333, 224.217054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 237.100006, "volume": 3082105, "typical_volume": 6471677.85, "trend": 205.716667, "fair_value": 213.030193, "relative_strength": 25.858237, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.394349, "energy": 23.08564, "activity_lines": [ 247.530001, 256.460364, 244.158239, 226.344452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 231.0, "volume": 3622643, "typical_volume": 6529472.1, "trend": 207.151334, "fair_value": 213.798462, "relative_strength": 19.066593, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.446189, "energy": 21.127286, "activity_lines": [ 240.443334, 251.810182, 244.92962, 227.975635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 230.740005, "volume": 2222579, "typical_volume": 6486889.45, "trend": 209.234001, "fair_value": 214.551603, "relative_strength": 17.487727, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.902245, "energy": 21.695734, "activity_lines": [ 236.120002, 247.128183, 245.295049, 229.497485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }