{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7fea089c-0075-4a2e-bdde-cf65f12ca8fa",
    "symbol": "42R",
    "name": "Jumbo Group Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 82.5,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -55.744,
    "architecture_energy": 56.401,
    "architecture_maturity": 2.512,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.408,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.57,
        "rotation_up": 12.91,
        "upward_expansion": 14.17,
        "deceleration": 35.47,
        "rotation_down": 65.39,
        "downward_expansion": 85.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.273,
        0.274182,
        0.276076,
        0.276203
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.275,
    "trend_reference": 0.276772,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.006403,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.253188,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086149,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.44569,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.00032,
    "excess_performance": -0.155155,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006403,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00739,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086149,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008798,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154457,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093146,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00032,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.9449,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29900,
      "relative_activity": 0.132483,
      "balance": 3.9449,
      "dry_up": 0.615889,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016734,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134126,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073091,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.276772,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.253188,
      "structural_low": 0.260351,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.018159,
        "positive_rate": 0.44,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00138,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 0.124999,
        "worst_return": -0.137931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.018182,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039227,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.306122,
        "worst_return": -0.137931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.005346,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041406,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.204078,
        "worst_return": -0.155169,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.001495,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.166252,
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        "worst_return": -0.196969,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "relative_strength": -6.526313,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.765879,
        "energy": 25.623196,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 0.28,
        "volume": 246000,
        "typical_volume": 386855.0,
        "trend": 0.272901,
        "fair_value": 0.250916,
        "relative_strength": -4.963946,
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        "energy": 31.185038,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 356985.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 345835.0,
        "trend": 0.273539,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 349635.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 337780.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 130900,
        "typical_volume": 283705.0,
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        "stage": 3,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 241315.0,
        "trend": 0.276012,
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        "relative_strength": -10.852653,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.066216,
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        "activity_lines": [
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          0.277124
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 23600,
        "typical_volume": 237265.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.252619,
        "relative_strength": -9.827645,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 11.782184,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 459400,
        "typical_volume": 257940.0,
        "trend": 0.276647,
        "fair_value": 0.252738,
        "relative_strength": -11.716841,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.295866,
        "energy": 21.63038,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.276667,
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          0.2773
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.275,
        "volume": 91600,
        "typical_volume": 253880.0,
        "trend": 0.276881,
        "fair_value": 0.252824,
        "relative_strength": -13.653596,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.893964,
        "energy": 20.668875,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.276,
          0.277091,
          0.277467,
          0.277194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.27,
        "volume": 78700,
        "typical_volume": 220120.0,
        "trend": 0.276789,
        "fair_value": 0.252907,
        "relative_strength": -16.076425,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -43.511998,
        "energy": 44.80363,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.274,
          0.275636,
          0.276867,
          0.27675
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.27,
        "volume": 355800,
        "typical_volume": 229620.0,
        "trend": 0.276698,
        "fair_value": 0.253045,
        "relative_strength": -16.309391,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.869099,
        "energy": 59.59468,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.272667,
          0.274364,
          0.276245,
          0.276312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.275,
        "volume": 29900,
        "typical_volume": 225690.0,
        "trend": 0.276772,
        "fair_value": 0.253188,
        "relative_strength": -15.44569,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.743649,
        "energy": 56.401305,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.273,
          0.274182,
          0.276076,
          0.276203
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}