{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7ffe3b95-519b-42f5-9297-990c1a2faa86", "symbol": "GEN", "name": "Genuit Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 13.387, "architecture_energy": 17.159, "architecture_maturity": 16.729, "architecture_confidence": 58.7, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.96, "rotation_up": 36.88, "upward_expansion": 30.72, "deceleration": 46.21, "rotation_down": 17.79, "downward_expansion": 43.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 284.146667, 277.832727, 272.440629, 280.872906 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 313.6, "trend_reference": 295.869111, "distance_from_trend": 0.059928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 371.048099, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154827, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.622244, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.056527, "excess_performance": -0.122806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059928, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065072, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154827, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153939, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212244, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.056527, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.542138, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7044693, "relative_activity": 1.181953, "balance": 2.542138, "dry_up": 0.649542, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070447, "annualized_volatility": 0.53149, "from_high_reference": -0.218782, "from_low_reference": 0.301245 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 295.869111, "fair_value_reference": 371.048099, "structural_low": 241.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.027778, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.0574, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.208084, "worst_return": -0.108108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.074344, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.098325, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.209581, "worst_return": -0.149439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.040251, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.10001, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.243063, "worst_return": -0.295405, 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"typical_volume": 5960213.3, "trend": 295.869111, "fair_value": 371.048099, "relative_strength": -9.622244, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.387449, "energy": 17.159274, "activity_lines": [ 284.146667, 277.832727, 272.440629, 280.872906 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }