{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "800022cd-a417-420a-81f0-7a57dd3c5f74",
    "symbol": "FYC",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST SMALL CAP GROWTH ALPHADEX FUND",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.453,
    "architecture_energy": 40.474,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.638,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.25,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.06,
        "rotation_up": 38.65,
        "upward_expansion": 65.38,
        "deceleration": 88.11,
        "rotation_down": 27.19,
        "downward_expansion": 17.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        120.441333,
        120.74497,
        118.09524,
        114.117924
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 123.05,
    "trend_reference": 109.337153,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.125418,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 79.693178,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.544047,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.852618,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.219359,
    "excess_performance": 0.031905,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125418,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080192,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.544047,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013743,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058526,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02067,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219359,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.391055,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 583228,
      "relative_activity": 1.882811,
      "balance": 1.391055,
      "dry_up": 1.463081,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04072,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.182211,
      "from_high_reference": -0.035431,
      "from_low_reference": 0.518951
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.337153,
      "fair_value_reference": 79.693178,
      "structural_low": 92.39,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.001643,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005511,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.134191,
        "worst_return": -0.078568,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.051875,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013577,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.162182,
        "worst_return": -0.203893,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.072003,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015749,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.214803,
        "worst_return": -0.215276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.090102,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012988,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.149173,
        "worst_return": -0.227816,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044013,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.133256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.162591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.149417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.02214,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 350139.6,
        "trend": 97.134893,
        "fair_value": 73.629292,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 360439.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 345816.85,
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        "relative_strength": 0.970787,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 2.779173,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 323584.2,
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        "relative_strength": 4.792577,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 76.965782,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 104.786393,
        "fair_value": 77.379794,
        "relative_strength": 11.474867,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 123.5,
        "volume": 310418,
        "typical_volume": 293044.3,
        "trend": 105.690726,
        "fair_value": 77.796713,
        "relative_strength": 9.659008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 298415,
        "typical_volume": 295941.7,
        "trend": 106.472726,
        "fair_value": 78.186525,
        "relative_strength": 5.911925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.377742,
        "energy": 79.666488,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 120.65,
        "volume": 240934,
        "typical_volume": 295566.25,
        "trend": 107.234393,
        "fair_value": 78.563772,
        "relative_strength": 9.078897,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.8737,
        "energy": 70.912464,
        "activity_lines": [
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          111.804999
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 117.93,
        "volume": 373525,
        "typical_volume": 287551.9,
        "trend": 107.897126,
        "fair_value": 78.919974,
        "relative_strength": 7.976101,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.573038,
        "energy": 52.156735,
        "activity_lines": [
          120.580593,
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          112.495039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 118.62,
        "volume": 615155,
        "typical_volume": 297005.3,
        "trend": 108.618153,
        "fair_value": 79.289148,
        "relative_strength": 7.609499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.391465,
        "energy": 39.012999,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.591333,
          120.085087,
          117.127497,
          113.186837
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 123.05,
        "volume": 583228,
        "typical_volume": 309764.45,
        "trend": 109.337153,
        "fair_value": 79.693178,
        "relative_strength": 5.852618,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.452517,
        "energy": 40.474241,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}