{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "80024597-6112-4a82-93b4-d5b3006c925f",
    "symbol": "EJAH",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Japan Min TE UCITS ETF H EUR Cap",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.033,
    "architecture_energy": 37.783,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.164,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.256,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.66,
        "rotation_up": 40.14,
        "upward_expansion": 66.93,
        "deceleration": 85.48,
        "rotation_down": 27.15,
        "downward_expansion": 16.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.160334,
        29.200909,
        28.7465,
        28.179269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 29.715,
    "trend_reference": 27.494,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080781,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.504583,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.449188,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.054279,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.112296,
    "excess_performance": -0.058595,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080781,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066169,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.449188,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019749,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000543,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043449,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112296,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.145628,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 58266,
      "relative_activity": 3.6213,
      "balance": 4.145628,
      "dry_up": 1.851126,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029162,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20031,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012134,
      "from_low_reference": 0.398024
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.494,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.504583,
      "structural_low": 24.559999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.025409,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01803,
        "regime_survival": 0.272727,
        "best_return": 0.059667,
        "worst_return": -0.028366,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.025545,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034567,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.147226,
        "worst_return": -0.08855,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.021313,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014279,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.225696,
        "worst_return": -0.0336,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.033915,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.127328,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.382023,
        "worst_return": -0.034415,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062055,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.062141,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016354,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.240327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.071925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 3919.65,
        "trend": 13.449733,
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      },
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        "close": 26.66,
        "volume": 1870,
        "typical_volume": 9402.0,
        "trend": 25.1185,
        "fair_value": 19.2085,
        "relative_strength": 3.226959,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.743423,
        "energy": 48.649139,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.792667,
          26.422273,
          26.310214,
          25.850796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 27.59,
        "volume": 18234,
        "typical_volume": 10205.2,
        "trend": 25.298667,
        "fair_value": 19.301269,
        "relative_strength": 4.290627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.501983,
        "energy": 58.484399,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.082,
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          26.461857,
          26.010247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 27.75,
        "volume": 6357,
        "typical_volume": 10520.55,
        "trend": 25.467,
        "fair_value": 19.39109,
        "relative_strength": 4.923956,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.092297,
        "energy": 53.73708,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.318667,
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          26.613357,
          26.168398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 28.07,
        "volume": 4920,
        "typical_volume": 9258.75,
        "trend": 25.630333,
        "fair_value": 19.481808,
        "relative_strength": 4.973544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.877911,
        "energy": 61.455373,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.604333,
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          26.779286,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 28.49,
        "volume": 3738,
        "typical_volume": 9218.9,
        "trend": 25.787667,
        "fair_value": 19.576282,
        "relative_strength": 5.13893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 73.452909,
        "energy": 73.853946,
        "activity_lines": [
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          26.967667,
          26.520828
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 28.57,
        "volume": 1727,
        "typical_volume": 9263.4,
        "trend": 25.957833,
        "fair_value": 19.667282,
        "relative_strength": 5.393558,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.289136,
        "energy": 80.515135,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.274,
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          26.700333
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 28.73,
        "volume": 1561,
        "typical_volume": 9260.5,
        "trend": 26.122,
        "fair_value": 19.755949,
        "relative_strength": 2.461893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.278506,
        "energy": 82.952457,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 30.075001,
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        "typical_volume": 8743.15,
        "trend": 26.346667,
        "fair_value": 19.855596,
        "relative_strength": 4.239277,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 90.35226,
        "energy": 93.452144,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.070334,
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          27.134215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 29.26,
        "volume": 2100,
        "typical_volume": 8813.55,
        "trend": 26.525,
        "fair_value": 19.947968,
        "relative_strength": 4.314745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.258915,
        "energy": 85.433972,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.228,
          28.692909,
          27.830857,
          27.322172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 29.235001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8548.9,
        "trend": 26.711833,
        "fair_value": 20.042064,
        "relative_strength": 0.985163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.357648,
        "energy": 84.562811,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.298001,
          28.884364,
          28.014476,
          27.497011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.775,
        "volume": 66413,
        "typical_volume": 11815.55,
        "trend": 26.916667,
        "fair_value": 20.140212,
        "relative_strength": 2.982463,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.328424,
        "energy": 86.777511,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.498334,
          29.126546,
          28.241119,
          27.694635
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.52,
        "volume": 11714,
        "typical_volume": 12350.45,
        "trend": 27.055333,
        "fair_value": 20.22925,
        "relative_strength": -0.192589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.525339,
        "energy": 54.128951,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.2,
          29.083909,
          28.335143,
          27.798075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.285,
        "volume": 22656,
        "typical_volume": 13259.05,
        "trend": 27.218833,
        "fair_value": 20.320756,
        "relative_strength": 2.434843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.278714,
        "energy": 50.104469,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.170667,
          29.163455,
          28.498286,
          27.941925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.540001,
        "volume": 26501,
        "typical_volume": 14319.9,
        "trend": 27.357333,
        "fair_value": 20.40941,
        "relative_strength": -1.023397,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.165225,
        "energy": 35.484798,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.945667,
          29.079637,
          28.573691,
          28.027161
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.715,
        "volume": 58266,
        "typical_volume": 16089.8,
        "trend": 27.494,
        "fair_value": 20.504583,
        "relative_strength": -0.054279,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.033218,
        "energy": 37.782786,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.160334,
          29.200909,
          28.7465,
          28.179269
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}