{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "800cdd57-0865-4619-a38c-4e679ef429e7",
    "symbol": "TNC",
    "name": "Tennant Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 86.579,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -8.576,
    "architecture_energy": 14.413,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.177,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.984,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.21,
        "rotation_up": 17.22,
        "upward_expansion": 47.55,
        "deceleration": 85.07,
        "rotation_down": 36.35,
        "downward_expansion": 25.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        81.776667,
        84.462182,
        84.465484,
        81.856746
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 73.89,
    "trend_reference": 79.270989,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.067881,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 84.163408,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.122065,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.938685,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.090732,
    "excess_performance": -0.216357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067881,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052821,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.122065,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162494,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159387,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169064,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090732,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.14582,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1527626,
      "relative_activity": 1.474991,
      "balance": 1.14582,
      "dry_up": 0.91403,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.089619,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.541648,
      "from_high_reference": -0.196236,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233985
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.270989,
      "fair_value_reference": 84.163408,
      "structural_low": 59.879183,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.029089,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046691,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.115132,
        "worst_return": -0.111216,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.001909,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00313,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.187807,
        "worst_return": -0.116195,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.143099,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.111475,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.089339,
        "worst_return": -0.271413,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.21841,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123551,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.796836,
        "worst_return": -0.310933,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.029445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.128245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.056187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.062196,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.279548,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.120671,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 63.29823,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1193644.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -1.402528,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1273502.95,
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        "fair_value": 83.992628,
        "relative_strength": 1.805827,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1277121.5,
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        "fair_value": 84.052636,
        "relative_strength": -1.452304,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 86.11,
        "volume": 714758,
        "typical_volume": 1171768.95,
        "trend": 78.614136,
        "fair_value": 84.115865,
        "relative_strength": 0.93272,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.389036,
        "energy": 40.579502,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.216,
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          84.183991,
          81.300318
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 87.77,
        "volume": 903137,
        "typical_volume": 1141125.8,
        "trend": 79.04715,
        "fair_value": 84.188136,
        "relative_strength": 3.666039,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.07559,
        "energy": 31.389395,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.07,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 84.03,
        "volume": 641069,
        "typical_volume": 1080081.85,
        "trend": 79.404075,
        "fair_value": 84.212084,
        "relative_strength": -1.542218,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.787273,
        "energy": 21.768337,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.876,
          86.842909,
          85.241554,
          82.212493
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 73.89,
        "volume": 1527626,
        "typical_volume": 1035685.3,
        "trend": 79.270989,
        "fair_value": 84.163408,
        "relative_strength": -15.938685,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.575814,
        "energy": 14.412886,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.776667,
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          84.465484,
          81.856746
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}