{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "801a36ed-4fdb-49b1-963a-b048f790dded",
    "symbol": "FRHC",
    "name": "Freedom Holding Corp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 75.381,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.675,
    "architecture_energy": 21.902,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.861,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.882,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.76,
        "rotation_up": 37.0,
        "upward_expansion": 66.07,
        "deceleration": 69.63,
        "rotation_down": 21.53,
        "downward_expansion": 6.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        151.634,
        151.038636,
        148.276833,
        145.396957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 148.98,
    "trend_reference": 140.1335,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063129,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 119.05609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251343,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -10.520835,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.213587,
    "excess_performance": 0.026134,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063129,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03715,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251343,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01904,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.105208,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117581,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213587,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.692428,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 287811,
      "relative_activity": 0.43095,
      "balance": 1.692428,
      "dry_up": 0.822556,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.120284,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.492073,
      "from_high_reference": -0.181429,
      "from_low_reference": 0.379764
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 140.1335,
      "fair_value_reference": 119.05609,
      "structural_low": 107.975,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.004929,
        "positive_rate": 0.535714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00808,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.153398,
        "worst_return": -0.164489,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.02316,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000737,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.371674,
        "worst_return": -0.207773,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.242646,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 510703.55,
        "trend": 137.437,
        "fair_value": 113.07266,
        "relative_strength": -21.503237,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.891083,
        "energy": 30.298294,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 508703.55,
        "trend": 136.653333,
        "fair_value": 113.454263,
        "relative_strength": -22.278914,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 17.663929,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 140.02,
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        "typical_volume": 512882.3,
        "trend": 135.911,
        "fair_value": 113.828045,
        "relative_strength": -21.062048,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "direction": 33.638081,
        "energy": 21.780846,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 603931,
        "typical_volume": 517571.95,
        "trend": 135.475333,
        "fair_value": 114.231314,
        "relative_strength": -18.884665,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 30.610469,
        "energy": 22.064614,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 496660.9,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 148.51,
        "volume": 1601318,
        "typical_volume": 550550.45,
        "trend": 135.335,
        "fair_value": 115.053494,
        "relative_strength": -13.5285,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 569588.0,
        "trend": 135.253,
        "fair_value": 115.414263,
        "relative_strength": -20.794325,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 135.569667,
        "fair_value": 115.829647,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 608718.15,
        "trend": 135.467,
        "fair_value": 116.13734,
        "relative_strength": -23.790729,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.287235,
        "energy": 5.029536,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 870520,
        "typical_volume": 629687.9,
        "trend": 136.452167,
        "fair_value": 116.673974,
        "relative_strength": -4.61555,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 27.074416,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 166.09,
        "volume": 1231614,
        "typical_volume": 666005.2,
        "trend": 137.4295,
        "fair_value": 117.213013,
        "relative_strength": -3.808788,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.123571,
        "energy": 47.971041,
        "activity_lines": [
          152.758,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 152.69,
        "volume": 875897,
        "typical_volume": 675009.7,
        "trend": 137.9765,
        "fair_value": 117.675962,
        "relative_strength": -6.977734,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.739407,
        "energy": 44.275447,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.386333,
          149.548909,
          146.962762,
          143.130731
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 151.02,
        "volume": 553968,
        "typical_volume": 671257.6,
        "trend": 138.632833,
        "fair_value": 118.133718,
        "relative_strength": -5.847667,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.705657,
        "energy": 50.201075,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.492,
          150.330455,
          147.550119,
          143.972247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 151.27,
        "volume": 479708,
        "typical_volume": 677292.3,
        "trend": 139.534167,
        "fair_value": 118.585769,
        "relative_strength": -5.351284,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.162144,
        "energy": 39.954757,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.193,
          150.957455,
          148.068429,
          144.787548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 148.98,
        "volume": 287811,
        "typical_volume": 667852.15,
        "trend": 140.1335,
        "fair_value": 119.05609,
        "relative_strength": -10.520835,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.674791,
        "energy": 21.901917,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.634,
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          148.276833,
          145.396957
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}