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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 76.104, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.216, "architecture_energy": 95.705, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.059, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.5, "rotation_up": 87.39, "upward_expansion": 99.24, "deceleration": 39.37, "rotation_down": 10.69, "downward_expansion": 21.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 102771.666667, 102666.909091, 102504.238095, 102342.688172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 102865.0, "trend_reference": 102108.5, "distance_from_trend": 0.007409, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 98707.398888, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04212, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.472558, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.013299, "excess_performance": -0.21653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007409, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004801, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04212, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001779, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204726, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.265607, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013299, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.936705, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14594, "relative_activity": 0.294654, "balance": 4.936705, "dry_up": 0.740283, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000793, "annualized_volatility": 0.001953, "from_high_reference": -0.010723, "from_low_reference": 0.049024 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102108.5, "fair_value_reference": 98707.398888, "structural_low": 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93.87825, "activity_lines": [ 102702.333333, 102604.909091, 102450.52381, 102290.698925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102865.0, "volume": 14594, "typical_volume": 49529.35, "trend": 102108.5, "fair_value": 98707.398888, "relative_strength": -20.472558, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.215907, "energy": 95.70509, "activity_lines": [ 102771.666667, 102666.909091, 102504.238095, 102342.688172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }