{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8027f0b8-adb8-4df4-9d79-635284671290", "symbol": "7744", "name": "WB", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.388, "architecture_energy": 14.167, "architecture_maturity": 9.72, "architecture_confidence": 70.372, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.32, "rotation_up": 30.94, "upward_expansion": 12.54, "deceleration": 53.32, "rotation_down": 43.21, "downward_expansion": 47.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 445.366667, 446.154545, 463.425693, 464.64722 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 470.0, "trend_reference": 450.361803, "distance_from_trend": 0.043605, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 286.917554, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.638101, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.887637, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.313002, "excess_performance": -0.12837, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043605, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123422, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.638101, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.437344, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.128876, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29733, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.313002, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.293275, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 750772, "relative_activity": 1.125465, "balance": 0.293275, "dry_up": 0.555495, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119642, "annualized_volatility": 0.677107, "from_high_reference": -0.228771, "from_low_reference": 0.876456 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 450.361803, "fair_value_reference": 286.917554, "structural_low": 352.041657, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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283.063187, "relative_strength": -21.024839, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.840291, "energy": 44.800306, "activity_lines": [ 421.4, 439.539394, 464.241103, 461.140171 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 470.0, "volume": 287005, "typical_volume": 664597.25, "trend": 445.394442, "fair_value": 285.010445, "relative_strength": -9.898807, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.633037, "energy": 28.152547, "activity_lines": [ 433.5, 442.709091, 463.839549, 463.059765 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 470.0, "volume": 750772, "typical_volume": 667077.35, "trend": 450.361803, "fair_value": 286.917554, "relative_strength": -12.887637, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.388184, "energy": 14.16695, "activity_lines": [ 445.366667, 446.154545, 463.425693, 464.64722 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }