{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "802820ea-5e4e-46e7-a4e7-b4b5daaf7c8e",
    "symbol": "DUE",
    "name": "D\u00fcrr Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -56.442,
    "architecture_energy": 39.999,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.85,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.341,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.59,
        "rotation_up": 21.59,
        "upward_expansion": 5.63,
        "deceleration": 56.99,
        "rotation_down": 48.65,
        "downward_expansion": 76.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.013334,
        18.165091,
        18.980957,
        19.36194
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 18.120001,
    "trend_reference": 20.067254,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.097036,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 20.310169,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107836,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.225559,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.187101,
    "excess_performance": -0.251741,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097036,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026555,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107836,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167169,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162256,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218865,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187101,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.993363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 536051,
      "relative_activity": 1.231214,
      "balance": 0.993363,
      "dry_up": 1.266842,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072135,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.480699,
      "from_high_reference": -0.250255,
      "from_low_reference": 0.094105
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.067254,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.310169,
      "structural_low": 16.561486,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.001546,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.481481,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008083,
        "regime_survival": 0.851852,
        "best_return": 0.202575,
        "worst_return": -0.177205,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.209495,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.133287,
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 498830.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 20.509625,
        "relative_strength": -18.635633,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": -80.701358,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.280001,
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        "typical_volume": 506849.9,
        "trend": 20.474933,
        "fair_value": 20.461868,
        "relative_strength": -11.711043,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.598989,
        "energy": 72.508105,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.017334,
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          19.368028,
          19.807095
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.200001,
        "volume": 506405,
        "typical_volume": 481996.1,
        "trend": 20.361047,
        "fair_value": 20.413832,
        "relative_strength": -12.598324,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.875836,
        "energy": 63.053293,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.002667,
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          19.248374,
          19.660326
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.84,
        "volume": 431244,
        "typical_volume": 459329.05,
        "trend": 20.223927,
        "fair_value": 20.356857,
        "relative_strength": -15.725068,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.510967,
        "energy": 53.799069,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.962667,
          18.284546,
          19.099929,
          19.497677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.120001,
        "volume": 536051,
        "typical_volume": 435384.25,
        "trend": 20.067254,
        "fair_value": 20.310169,
        "relative_strength": -16.225559,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.441913,
        "energy": 39.999026,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.013334,
          18.165091,
          18.980957,
          19.36194
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}