{ "ticker": { "uuid": "802a5749-d75e-4e20-b27f-bfa600d83396", "symbol": "BAMI", "name": "Blue Ant Media Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.071, "architecture_energy": 65.96, "architecture_maturity": 65.808, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 19.27, "upward_expansion": 13.61, "deceleration": 40.01, "rotation_down": 61.6, "downward_expansion": 86.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.186667, 5.283273, 5.531619, 5.729742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.08, "trend_reference": 6.109667, "distance_from_trend": -0.168531, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.052436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.438825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.649931, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.203762, "excess_performance": -0.324183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.168531, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130503, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.438825, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.346499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040739, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.203762, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.315071, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64000, "relative_activity": 0.724023, "balance": 0.315071, "dry_up": 0.846202, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080709, "annualized_volatility": 0.33857, "from_high_reference": -0.444809, "from_low_reference": 0.069474 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.109667, "fair_value_reference": 9.052436, "structural_low": 4.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.040293, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.033287, "regime_survival": 0.878788, "best_return": 0.469534, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.067497, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.055725, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.421147, "worst_return": -0.364162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.083775, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.098837, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.479769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011364, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011236, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.007955, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.09434, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.120567, "active": 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.023927, "energy": 47.048405, "activity_lines": [ 5.315333, 5.402364, 5.657571, 5.873398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.2, "volume": 72000, "typical_volume": 88415.0, "trend": 6.209, "fair_value": 9.132051, "relative_strength": -31.933206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.6423, "energy": 54.004976, "activity_lines": [ 5.269333, 5.347636, 5.598524, 5.802581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.08, "volume": 64000, "typical_volume": 88395.0, "trend": 6.109667, "fair_value": 9.052436, "relative_strength": -34.649931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.070729, "energy": 65.959936, "activity_lines": [ 5.186667, 5.283273, 5.531619, 5.729742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }