{ "ticker": { "uuid": "802b8286-e0e1-4e1d-a847-4ba70fb9bfe7", "symbol": "301167", "name": "Anhui Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.335, "architecture_energy": 53.103, "architecture_maturity": 68.846, "architecture_confidence": 92.894, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 25.94, "upward_expansion": 8.89, "deceleration": 60.84, "rotation_down": 52.86, "downward_expansion": 82.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.745333, 12.791273, 13.943433, 14.781463 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.66, "trend_reference": 15.796844, "distance_from_trend": -0.13527, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.643446, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.067159, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.023952, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.240829, "excess_performance": -0.248229, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.13527, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070387, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.067159, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.266031, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18024, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060455, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.240829, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.293209, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12853878, "relative_activity": 1.141594, "balance": 0.293209, "dry_up": 1.204634, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091409, "annualized_volatility": 0.351813, "from_high_reference": -0.273348, "from_low_reference": 0.217469 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.796844, "fair_value_reference": 14.643446, "structural_low": 11.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.004096, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.034783, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.240675, "worst_return": -0.107955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.036661, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039241, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.253559, "worst_return": -0.139718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.040659, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.096169, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.104684, "worst_return": -0.186003, "sufficient": false }, { 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"direction": -77.561834, "energy": 89.331464, "activity_lines": [ 12.572, 13.337237, 14.678223, 15.42557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.54, "volume": 15409361, "typical_volume": 11282872.7, "trend": 15.991122, "fair_value": 14.700074, "relative_strength": -29.413484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.958763, "energy": 81.007785, "activity_lines": [ 12.172, 12.855271, 14.296244, 15.127986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.84, "volume": 13790619, "typical_volume": 11273624.45, "trend": 15.879985, "fair_value": 14.67122, "relative_strength": -19.581861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.432655, "energy": 63.732352, "activity_lines": [ 12.332667, 12.712, 14.068379, 14.924688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.66, "volume": 12853878, "typical_volume": 11259589.35, "trend": 15.796844, "fair_value": 14.643446, "relative_strength": -18.023952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.334685, "energy": 53.103183, "activity_lines": [ 12.745333, 12.791273, 13.943433, 14.781463 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }