{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "802e50e1-c4fd-4884-b31e-6975d5884a74",
    "symbol": "MUX",
    "name": "McEwen Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 74.128,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.127,
    "architecture_energy": 50.878,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.48,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.028,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.97,
        "rotation_up": 19.51,
        "upward_expansion": 9.07,
        "deceleration": 44.13,
        "rotation_down": 56.54,
        "downward_expansion": 82.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.973334,
        25.304364,
        26.938238,
        28.206387
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.700001,
    "trend_reference": 30.022667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.110672,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.931346,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.576957,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.20949,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.223837,
    "excess_performance": -0.344259,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110672,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000244,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.576957,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.54572,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.122095,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.383083,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.223837,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.535485,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 274400,
      "relative_activity": 1.338863,
      "balance": 0.535485,
      "dry_up": 0.965357,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.113022,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.688996,
      "from_high_reference": -0.333666,
      "from_low_reference": 0.969027
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.022667,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.931346,
      "structural_low": 22.57,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.006381,
        "positive_rate": 0.517241,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.482759,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001484,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.427208,
        "worst_return": -0.289474,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.06034,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07787,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.838639,
        "worst_return": -0.388889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.28043,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.18527,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.454751,
        "worst_return": -0.590741,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.694199,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.435917,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.09276,
        "worst_return": -0.672593,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.123371,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027586,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.085384,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.138889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016821,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.08714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.217698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.506667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00077,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.000749,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.061624,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "close": 28.870001,
        "volume": 329300,
        "typical_volume": 337295.0,
        "trend": 29.542333,
        "fair_value": 15.422885,
        "relative_strength": 12.362639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.671629,
        "energy": 16.978666,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.756667,
          31.042909,
          31.839714,
          30.905591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.040001,
        "volume": 504700,
        "typical_volume": 348880.0,
        "trend": 29.76,
        "fair_value": 15.565256,
        "relative_strength": 26.098842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.398884,
        "energy": 22.588233,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.160667,
          31.327091,
          31.988191,
          31.131247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 31.17,
        "volume": 306300,
        "typical_volume": 354665.0,
        "trend": 29.804,
        "fair_value": 15.696923,
        "relative_strength": 18.229802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.710893,
        "energy": 12.440791,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.730001,
          31.375091,
          31.928476,
          31.222215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 29.08,
        "volume": 195800,
        "typical_volume": 351665.0,
        "trend": 29.860667,
        "fair_value": 15.819615,
        "relative_strength": 7.14585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.261933,
        "energy": 8.179942,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.656,
          31.075455,
          31.649667,
          31.175506
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 30.32,
        "volume": 183500,
        "typical_volume": 336560.0,
        "trend": 30.015333,
        "fair_value": 15.944423,
        "relative_strength": 9.549239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.424883,
        "energy": 8.937376,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.425334,
          31.050728,
          31.472524,
          31.20514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 25.469999,
        "volume": 171600,
        "typical_volume": 318015.0,
        "trend": 30.115,
        "fair_value": 16.043077,
        "relative_strength": -7.590237,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.348556,
        "energy": 38.315644,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.75,
          30.054546,
          30.827143,
          30.911893
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 26.700001,
        "volume": 64500,
        "typical_volume": 294475.0,
        "trend": 30.199667,
        "fair_value": 16.1525,
        "relative_strength": -5.224236,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.098904,
        "energy": 48.208905,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.711333,
          29.305091,
          30.32881,
          30.69157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 27.1,
        "volume": 27300,
        "typical_volume": 268390.0,
        "trend": 30.349667,
        "fair_value": 16.266731,
        "relative_strength": -4.573763,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.909537,
        "energy": 51.936528,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.228667,
          28.686,
          29.915857,
          30.491592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.43,
        "volume": 71000,
        "typical_volume": 244710.0,
        "trend": 30.331,
        "fair_value": 16.368718,
        "relative_strength": -11.002594,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.859496,
        "energy": 68.576362,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.460667,
          27.851818,
          29.371286,
          30.174194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 27.58,
        "volume": 39700,
        "typical_volume": 227975.0,
        "trend": 30.384,
        "fair_value": 16.486538,
        "relative_strength": -4.676164,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.122801,
        "energy": 57.896955,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.652667,
          27.592182,
          29.074191,
          29.99671
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.27,
        "volume": 228100,
        "typical_volume": 227460.0,
        "trend": 30.359333,
        "fair_value": 16.577756,
        "relative_strength": -13.130631,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.246351,
        "energy": 53.30478,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.257333,
          27.009273,
          28.592714,
          29.666774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.940001,
        "volume": 228800,
        "typical_volume": 224980.0,
        "trend": 30.233333,
        "fair_value": 16.650128,
        "relative_strength": -21.232075,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.064808,
        "energy": 63.294547,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.098667,
          26.068182,
          27.939714,
          29.188108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.290001,
        "volume": 135700,
        "typical_volume": 218745.0,
        "trend": 30.144334,
        "fair_value": 16.733269,
        "relative_strength": -17.077322,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.384322,
        "energy": 55.661163,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.640667,
          25.556182,
          27.490572,
          28.804667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.27,
        "volume": 152500,
        "typical_volume": 210660.0,
        "trend": 30.099,
        "fair_value": 16.822821,
        "relative_strength": -17.147914,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.748574,
        "energy": 60.752932,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.363334,
          25.165637,
          27.080762,
          28.425678
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.700001,
        "volume": 274400,
        "typical_volume": 204950.0,
        "trend": 30.022667,
        "fair_value": 16.931346,
        "relative_strength": -12.20949,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.126906,
        "energy": 50.877798,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.973334,
          25.304364,
          26.938238,
          28.206387
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}